Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c85478848cf34b013c9a87625284d230582bc9342406c7ab754c80eaf70e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 9,746$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.62 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Yes | 6c | 2,089$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 584 | 29.1%170 W · 414 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 37c | 1,010$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.83 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 808.02$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 19c | 564.32$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 20c | 485.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 343.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 17c | 304.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 10c | 299.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 12c | 289.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 18c | 276.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 259$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 228.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…875fbacked Yes | 8c | 208.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 8c | 206.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…51fabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 10c | 163.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 12c | 144.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 142.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Yes | 20c | 111.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 101.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,163 | 60.5%704 W · 459 L | +67.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 94.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 19c | 92.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 62c | 72.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 550 | 50.2%276 W · 274 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 75c | 63.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 62c | 44.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1,156 | 53%613 W · 543 L | +43.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…3a49backed Yes | 38c | 39.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 64c | 28.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.