Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97e6baeecad93606e4f7ad080a89d56c8cdf9da83645b22ac7481f24fb824392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked No | 80c | 36,186$28,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,948.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 49c | 31,110$15,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,711.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 16,367$6,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 15,482$9,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,527.62 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 11,758$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,745.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 10,810$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,648.65 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 9,300$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,441.44 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 8,847$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.93 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,997$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.52 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 3,831$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.72 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 34c | 3,681$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked No | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1a68backed No | 26c | 2,810$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 20c | 2,707$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.6 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 76c | 2,645$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.44 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 76c | 2,624$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 1,436$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.19 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 5c | 1,411$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 33c | 1,352$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.52 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 29c | 1,114$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 80c | 1,100$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 761.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.61 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 28c | 675.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 590.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.64 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 57c | 568.49$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 29c | 546.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Yes | 75c | 541.44$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 529.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.83 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 24c | 487.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.67 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 29c | 417.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 72c | 409.57$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 32c | 406.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 36c | 370$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 365.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 347.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…e6b7backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 28c | 335.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 60c | 326.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 37c | 311$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 60c | 286.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…f848backed Yes | 75c | 266.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed No | 68c | 255.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 29c | 255$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 29c | 254.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 44c | 250$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 34c | 246.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 38c | 245$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 241$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…2130backed Yes | 25c | 188$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 24c | 185$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…dfa6backed Yes | 20c | 157.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…8413backed Yes | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Yes | 33c | 138.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 29c | 138.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 23c | 127.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 28c | 126.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 32c | 117.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 110.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 73c | 107.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 30c | 100.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked No | 14c | 99.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…a63ebacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 69c | 87.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed No | 58c | 85.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 30c | 82.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…70f5backed Yes | 73c | 82.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?this page
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.