Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc4f9a85aea6c81b3861159f01d1296cfcd5f3e718da77f47c677af3010af09e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $907,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $907,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 701 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 59c | 137,000$80,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,811.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 0c | 98,847$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 63,860$28,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,720.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 61c | 57,595$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 36c | 53,708$19,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,372.94 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 50,175$22,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,679.52 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 67c | 34,718$23,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,356.87 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 22,345$14,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,562.12 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 36c | 16,807$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.11 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 36c | 15,333$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,812.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 36c | 12,000$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,709.78 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 11,626$5,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.85 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 35c | 11,000$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.94 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 35c | 10,506$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 35c | 9,744$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 35c | 8,652$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,623.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 34c | 8,029$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.27 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 7,848$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.84 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 35c | 7,238$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.33 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 35c | 6,666$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 64c | 6,338$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.41 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 38c | 6,111$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.68 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 36c | 5,944$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.86 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 5,393$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.9 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 32c | 4,735$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 4,507$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.62 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…ca40backed No | 37c | 4,324$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 65c | 4,098$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.1 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1a68backed Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 65c | 3,999$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.35 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 3,700$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.39 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 3,697$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.85 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 18c | 3,666$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 66c | 3,486$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.44 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 9c | 3,265$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +190.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 63c | 3,232$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.85 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 2,661$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.8 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 64c | 2,317$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,310$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes | 66c | 2,303$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 33c | 2,174$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…011fbacked Yes | 64c | 2,114$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 36c | 2,105$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.06 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 36c | 2,100$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +197%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 65c | 1,930$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…2c80backed Yes | 65c | 1,903$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb86…cc67backed No | 35c | 1,898$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 36c | 1,694$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.16 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 64c | 1,565$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.72 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…d9afbacked Yes | 64c | 1,559$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 70c | 1,524$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.51 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 61c | 1,495$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,410$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…2b46backed No | 36c | 1,260$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 44c | 1,260$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.01 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…d529backed Yes | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 38c | 1,211$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 65c | 1,130$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.1 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 37c | 1,103$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Yes | 62c | 1,100$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 41c | 1,086$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46da…724ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,086$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3929…c3f2backed Yes | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 1,047$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,009$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…e28bbacked Yes | 63c | 988.89$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…793bbacked Yes | 65c | 984.73$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…8d69backed Yes | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 12c | 936.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 60c | 910.23$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 38c | 896$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Yes | 65c | 844.59$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…5310backed Yes | 66c | 841.28$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…d7cdbacked Yes | 65c | 815.38$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.