Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef216de4d39009ccc0aa6d49df7e088fde784c2c8d0582b1bf3a62fb1c790040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 14c | 100,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 51c | 19,755$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 16,323$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.05 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 12,173$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,060.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 65c | 6,759$4,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.13 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 6,259$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.85 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 5,959$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 5,453$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.1 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 17c | 3,850$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.43 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 3,519$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 2,906$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.42 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 2,715$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 48c | 2,599$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.73 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 67c | 2,332$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 70c | 2,153$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…85f6backed Yes | 65c | 1,934$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,698$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 19c | 1,588$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed No | 62c | 1,577$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.22 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 41c | 1,291$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 12c | 1,180$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 36c | 1,105$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 16c | 1,094$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 50c | 991.32$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.95 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Yes | 16c | 900$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 13c | 857.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…c23fbacked Yes | 68c | 716.92$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 40c | 700.57$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Yes | 72c | 696.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 690.12$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b817backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 49c | 617$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Yes | 42c | 600.81$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 35c | 560$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 34c | 515.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 48c | 430.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.29 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 405.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes | 70c | 399$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 17c | 375.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed No | 77c | 374.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 46c | 354.55$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 16c | 334.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…88e1backed Yes | 46c | 329.46$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Yes | 17c | 324.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 18c | 305.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Yes | 66c | 287.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 36c | 285.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 15c | 279.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 11c | 278.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 45c | 276.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 50c | 264.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 39c | 224.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…d828backed Yes | 6c | 213.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 15c | 209.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Yes | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…f4d2backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed No | 56c | 178.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked Yes | 67c | 174.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 15c | 148.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 24c | 147.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 10c | 143.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 70c | 143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…6771backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 39c | 134$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…1fa1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 15c | 133.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked No | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.