Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743fa0a86cf32a12c50acb5c87a5c672d5093970163a564376a774db0ff173ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,325 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,886$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 895.6$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 76c | 397.43$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 310.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 299.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 63c | 252.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 184$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 24c | 178.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 50c | 178.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 112.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 36c | 103.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 68c | 91.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 77.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Under | 70c | 59.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Over | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 41.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 32.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 32c | 31.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Under | 32c | 31.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Under | 32c | 31.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 42c | 27.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 45c | 24.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Over | 51c | 24.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…f9a1backed Under | 61c | 18.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 159.5this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-1.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)BYU Cougars won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.