Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd85fe65ee3df32c21d163fa31de5e2c990aa97d712b458b64af52744abcc97e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,903 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 907.46$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.58 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 66c | 285.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked BYU Cougars | 31c | 284.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed BYU Cougars | 56c | 238.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars | 42c | 207.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 183.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 147.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 94.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 94.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed BYU Cougars | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed BYU Cougars | 57c | 83.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 73.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 56c | 72.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 75c | 69.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed BYU Cougars | 59c | 59.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 53.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked BYU Cougars | 34c | 46.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked BYU Cougars | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 56c | 34.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ec4bbacked BYU Cougars | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 70c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-1.5)this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)BYU Cougars won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 158.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 159.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.