Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe004f8b7b1794c65a607be02aef9d065c32e7df20e7dcffd372c0833c2b22850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,160 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 8,239$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 7,917$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.57 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 6,050$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.01 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 3,694$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.25 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 3,376$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.8 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 2,955$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.16 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 2,859$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 2,808$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.18 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 1,461$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 1,087$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.77 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BYU Cougars | 51c | 600.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.87 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 600.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.18 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 594.78$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 555.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.15 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 526.44$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed BYU Cougars | 43c | 516.45$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 423.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.38 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 402$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked BYU Cougars | 36c | 394.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 387.21$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.48 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 71c | 231.35$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 224.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 206.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed BYU Cougars | 28c | 203.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 196.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 192.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 158.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 155.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 99.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 95.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…f9d5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 92.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 89.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 77.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 55.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 48.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 43.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BYU Cougars | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 34.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked BYU Cougars | 53c | 32.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed BYU Cougars | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 25.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 24.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…87f7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…595fbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…72c3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)this page
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-1.5)BYU Cougars won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 158.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 159.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.