TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97fb…87f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$23.73
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58%+$16.84
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$10.32
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+37.8%+$10.22
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+97.5%+$39.62
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.48
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+27.7%+$16.22
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+219.5%+$32.99
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.27
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+89.9%+$14.26
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.25
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$24.92
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$25.56
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$15.58
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.6%+$5.11
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$5.33
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.15
All 25 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$135.05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+471.1%+$87.71
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$62.19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or higher on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$21
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$18.98
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.4%+$11.29
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.88
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
West Georgia Wolves vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37.9%+$4.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.59
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.