Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe530253097a9034a4cc56566e038cb0cecafa48414594ff0f84b47eff266f425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed3c…017bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,524$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…b2f1backed Yes | 1c | 12,649$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…e282backed Yes | 7c | 9,517$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…669ebacked Yes | 15c | 8,287$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.1 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 1c | 3,274$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 1,717$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 39c | 1,696$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.24 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…33e5backed Yes | 12c | 1,493$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 29c | 1,309$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.6 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 23c | 1,027$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed Yes | 1c | 951$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 42c | 933.31$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.78 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 49c | 664$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 6c | 624.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 38c | 602.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 3c | 597$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 80c | 553.87$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 541.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 25c | 539.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 5c | 498.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked Yes | 6c | 489.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 479.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…0db3backed Yes | 46c | 399.73$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 42c | 395.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 57c | 394.3$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 59c | 336$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 323.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 6c | 321.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 29c | 314.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 6c | 299.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 12c | 289.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…ae05backed Yes | 8c | 279.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 32c | 271.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 69c | 265.45$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 76c | 253.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 242.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed Yes | 62c | 221.65$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 10c | 211.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 211.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…4ff1backed Yes | 19c | 204.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 44c | 201.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d01…fbb6backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…c278backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 40c | 194.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 74c | 183.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…dc46backed Yes | 25c | 177.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…7e1bbacked No | 80c | 167.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 20c | 165.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 20c | 164.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 24c | 145.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…f4f2backed Yes | 10c | 142.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 133.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 21c | 126.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 126.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 68c | 122.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…eab8backed Yes | 28c | 120.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…17acbacked Yes | 29c | 120.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b05ebacked Yes | 32c | 117.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…310bbacked No | 64c | 116.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 78c | 112.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 52c | 108.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…e582backed Yes | 23c | 101.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 20c | 91.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 29c | 90.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 30c | 89.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 20c | 88.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…aa00backed Yes | 32c | 86.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…a07dbacked Yes | 28c | 80.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 29c | 79.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Yes | 41c | 78.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed24…1b47backed Yes | 64c | 73.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 54c | 73.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 72.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…3554backed Yes | 30c | 71.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 30c | 67.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 24c | 64.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…8952backed No | 71c | 62.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 26c | 61.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…87f7backed Yes | 31c | 59.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 53c | 58.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…88f3backed Yes | 27c | 57.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 30c | 57.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 50c | 50.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.