Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e4b9db5247c559e8b63e358a13ba55f8f9badb2a1eb79b1ce109add3c8817c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0be5…0db3backed Yes | 0c | 15,751$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 0c | 15,501$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 7c | 7,719$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.46 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 1c | 7,120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,969$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.31 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…1e5abacked Yes | 2c | 1,380$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…e282backed Yes | 28c | 1,091$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 31c | 731.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 75c | 668.29$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 27c | 644.41$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 7c | 427.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 16c | 422.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 28c | 377.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 70c | 355.71$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 312.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 70c | 277.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 241.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 72c | 221.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Yes | 43c | 220.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 73c | 209.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…5fc8backed Yes | 24c | 200.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 200.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 197.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 26c | 188.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 182.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 181.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 173.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 79c | 167.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked Yes | 18c | 162.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 71c | 156.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…86febacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 19c | 133.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 32c | 131.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 126.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…017bbacked Yes | 22c | 117.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 26c | 106.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 105.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…e582backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 90.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 12c | 90.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…87f7backed Yes | 21c | 87.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…efe7backed Yes | 26c | 85.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 21c | 83.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 68c | 82.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…9ed6backed No | 78c | 78.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…52a2backed Yes | 20c | 75.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eef…a835backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…372abacked Yes | 31c | 69.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 65c | 66.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 26c | 60.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…646ebacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 27c | 59.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…2a0dbacked Yes | 27c | 58.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…184abacked No | 61c | 55.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 52.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…44cbbacked Yes | 29c | 51.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…1b64backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed No | 78c | 49.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…ba65backed No | 78c | 49.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…f70dbacked Yes | 28c | 49.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ba…c42fbacked Yes | 29c | 48.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 22c | 47.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 31c | 46.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…2265backed Yes | 27c | 44.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 23c | 43.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…52e9backed Yes | 27c | 40.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 74c | 40.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked No | 73c | 36.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 80c | 36.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…7bc6backed No | 73c | 34.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 69c | 34.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed No | 75c | 31.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed No | 80c | 30.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…768fbacked Yes | 35c | 29.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a12abacked No | 76c | 27.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked No | 73c | 26.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 67c | 26.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…88f3backed No | 79c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…a950backed No | 80c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…3d5dbacked No | 74c | 24.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…c154backed No | 76c | 23.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 68c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 80c | 22.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…1694backed No | 75c | 21.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…8952backed No | 74c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2a…3ba6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…f426backed No | 77c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 73c | 19.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 74c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…0489backed No | 71c | 16.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked No | 79c | 13.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.