Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6cadd12fc0becd918998c62abfc270fb1701645915cf588fcc2f92a7d1560fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880d…adb6backed No | 0c | 21,660$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…c4a1backed No | 12c | 5,439$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked No | 68c | 4,091$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d2…5621backed No | 0c | 3,816$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…dd55backed No | 0c | 3,347$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…ba65backed No | 1c | 2,144$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 29c | 2,065$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.68 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…a21abacked No | 1c | 1,973$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 31c | 970.06$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.11 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Yes | 3c | 652.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.4 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 18c | 641.65$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.75 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 76c | 597.92$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 11c | 509.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.69 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 22c | 467.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.33 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 3c | 425$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.9 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 424.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.07 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 14c | 380.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.7 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Yes | 25c | 369.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 15c | 364.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 352.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 345.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 337$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 16c | 303.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Yes | 78c | 291.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 9c | 280.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 9c | 270.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.94 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 25c | 269.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 60c | 225.65$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 212.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 209.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 18c | 201.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…750bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…c2c6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b884backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…6747backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…6804backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf565…cb93backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf821…f546backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…0b31backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…603bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…e39ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…36a8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…8769backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…120ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63fd…ae6ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…d952backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…a1c9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…92b6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…eed5backed Yes | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 51c | 198.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 26c | 198.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 47c | 178.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 176.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 154.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.85 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 19c | 140$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 138.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 134.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 16c | 131.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 26c | 127.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 18c | 125.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 75c | 114.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 52c | 110.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…87f7backed Yes | 18c | 106.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…9671backed Yes | 40c | 105.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…85f7backed Yes | 21c | 102.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 18c | 101.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…9161backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…4dc0backed Yes | 12c | 99.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 20c | 98.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 20c | 96.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…016abacked No | 15c | 94.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 166 | 31.9%53 W · 113 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…7d65backed No | 80c | 93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 18c | 92.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 20c | 92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Yes | 17c | 91.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…a950backed Yes | 17c | 91.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…88f3backed Yes | 17c | 91.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked Yes | 17c | 90.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 79.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 19c | 77.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 16c | 66.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…52d1backed No | 72c | 65.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 53c | 64.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa2…e23abacked No | 78c | 62.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…bf4bbacked No | 78c | 62.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…fa02backed No | 80c | 62.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…da7ebacked No | 76c | 59.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 31c | 58.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…2b68backed Yes | 18c | 56.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Yes | 75c | 54.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61b0…f7f2backed No | 79c | 51.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 22c | 50.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.