Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8573bf0901575bbf50f74080d3fc3a10ee89d8595f4b41dbc259cacb70ff275c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 6c | 2,717$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.82 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…29e0backed Yes | 1c | 1,993$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 25c | 1,609$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.72 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 4c | 1,051$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…e047backed Yes | 37c | 949.43$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 17c | 834.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Yes | 25c | 560.87$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 549.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 4c | 499.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 492.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 488.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 475.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked Yes | 22c | 470.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 15c | 413.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.47 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 13c | 410$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 14c | 393.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 16c | 365.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 63c | 364.46$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 317.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 15c | 304.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 16c | 247.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 12c | 241.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 77c | 236.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked Yes | 6c | 233.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 23c | 227.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 15c | 216.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 60c | 211.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 37c | 211.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…8495backed No | 76c | 209.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…9161backed Yes | 22c | 199.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 15c | 193.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 192.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…b1e8backed No | 69c | 184.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 18c | 178.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 178.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 22c | 176.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 16c | 176.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 24c | 170.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 7c | 169.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 44c | 168.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 26c | 168.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Yes | 18c | 153.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 26c | 140.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed No | 74c | 136.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 21c | 135.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8321…506dbacked Yes | 14c | 132.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 14c | 130.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 16c | 120.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 120.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 115.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked Yes | 24c | 115.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b85abacked No | 77c | 114.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 14c | 107.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 25c | 105.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…18e8backed No | 80c | 104.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 19c | 102.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…3c72backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 18c | 99.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…d77bbacked Yes | 19c | 99.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…016abacked No | 73c | 97.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 166 | 31.9%53 W · 113 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 20c | 93.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…fa02backed No | 80c | 93.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 21c | 92.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 23c | 90.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 77c | 89.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 15c | 88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…e793backed Yes | 21c | 87.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 55c | 85.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 41c | 85.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 84.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…7c09backed No | 41c | 81.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Yes | 24c | 80.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 25c | 78.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 18c | 78.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 25c | 77.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…9f4dbacked Yes | 14c | 76.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 230 | 7.8%18 W · 212 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 76.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…c771backed Yes | 28c | 74.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a5e6backed Yes | 14c | 73.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 17c | 73.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 59c | 64.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 18c | 64.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…d3fcbacked Yes | 18c | 63.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…8fcabacked No | 79c | 61.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…a774backed Yes | 42c | 61.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed No | 77c | 60.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…17fbbacked Yes | 28c | 55.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 68c | 55.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.