NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4fbc606c90f11cf2217a86939df08e705348572acba2fcccc792ef8b7c1c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Hornets, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,912,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,912,305 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Spurs | 67c | 369,387$248,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,114.36 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 33c | 200,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Spurs | 65c | 135,000$88,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,646.16 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Spurs | 72c | 101,529$73,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,202.89 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Hornets | 34c | 81,463$27,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,697.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets | 14c | 69,449$10,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,059.85 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 33c | 40,153$13,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,184.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Spurs | 66c | 37,360$24,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,556.73 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Spurs | 68c | 35,000$23,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,050 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs | 69c | 34,903$24,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,784 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs | 66c | 33,416$21,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,436.47 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hornets | 33c | 31,106$10,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,226.38 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Hornets | 32c | 31,000$9,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,780 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Hornets | 17c | 28,322$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Hornets | 13c | 26,802$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.57 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs | 69c | 24,618$16,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,623.94 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Hornets | 36c | 22,963$8,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,352.18 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Spurs | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hornets | 19c | 19,496$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.03 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Spurs | 68c | 19,026$12,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.24 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…5d2bbacked Hornets | 0c | 18,585$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Hornets | 32c | 17,969$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750.08 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 15c | 16,748$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.63 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.61 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Spurs | 68c | 15,068$10,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.92 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hornets | 33c | 15,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.88 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Hornets | 14c | 14,850$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Hornets | 3c | 14,575$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…ff76backed Hornets | 1c | 14,375$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hornets | 33c | 14,167$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Hornets | 31c | 13,889$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.69 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Hornets | 32c | 13,577$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.79 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Hornets | 32c | 13,496$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.56 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets | 27c | 13,324$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 68c | 13,280$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.84 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Hornets | 0c | 13,147$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Hornets | 22c | 12,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.99 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Spurs | 69c | 12,439$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.5 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs | 68c | 12,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Spurs | 67c | 11,927$8,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.99 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs | 68c | 10,225$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.98 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Hornets | 36c | 10,144$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Hornets | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Spurs | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.97 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Spurs | 68c | 9,996$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.74 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hornets | 13c | 9,945$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.44 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 32c | 9,506$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Hornets | 33c | 9,353$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.36 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Spurs | 66c | 9,000$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.95 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 21c | 8,983$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Hornets | 32c | 8,919$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.22 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Hornets | 12c | 8,432$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.84 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Spurs | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Hornets | 31c | 7,691$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.34 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Hornets | 34c | 7,631$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.54 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Hornets | 31c | 7,500$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs | 68c | 7,200$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 32c | 7,075$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Hornets | 4c | 7,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 14c | 6,550$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.12 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Spurs | 66c | 6,188$4,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.02 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Hornets | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d9…c063backed Spurs | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Hornets | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 14c | 5,920$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.58 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Hornets | 31c | 5,572$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.32 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7b56backed Spurs | 76c | 5,394$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.1 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Hornets | 33c | 5,196$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.66 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…b445backed Hornets | 31c | 5,027$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 68c | 5,020$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.93 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hornets | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.97 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Hornets | 32c | 4,780$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.14 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Hornets | 31c | 4,776$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Hornets | 30c | 4,600$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.97 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2166…9f7fbacked Hornets | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Hornets | 32c | 4,531$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets | 0c | 4,405$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Hornets | 15c | 4,400$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…a5a3backed Spurs | 69c | 4,216$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Hornets | 35c | 4,204$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.88 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…f0f6backed Spurs | 68c | 4,122$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Hornets | 31c | 4,122$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.82 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Spurs | 68c | 4,122$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.76 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Spurs | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Hornets | 32c | 4,000$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 30c | 3,995$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Hornets | 33c | 3,992$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.36 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Hornets | 32c | 3,978$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hornets | 24c | 3,956$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.11 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 27c | 3,905$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.11 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Spurs | 67c | 3,810$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.18 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…779fbacked Hornets | 31c | 3,763$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spurs | 66c | 3,754$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.21 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Hornets | 34c | 3,625$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.5 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Hornets | 31c | 3,600$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…cdcebacked Spurs | 69c | 3,560$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.