NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48043f3bd2d5771f618aa36fa99cc967b90a6353ddfa3bb56e51cfb22b1ebf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,895 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 48c | 41,667$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,666.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Hornets | 52c | 24,781$12,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,886.12 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets | 52c | 21,154$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs | 48c | 6,282$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.66 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hornets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 45c | 4,544$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Hornets | 59c | 4,219$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 52c | 3,175$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Spurs | 45c | 2,748$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.22 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets | 52c | 2,471$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.08 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets | 51c | 2,103$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.79 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Spurs | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 46c | 2,032$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.84 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 51c | 1,881$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.43 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Hornets | 56c | 1,700$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.86 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hornets | 50c | 1,211$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.67 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 46c | 1,206$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Spurs | 50c | 1,187$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 51c | 1,105$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hornets | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Hornets | 53c | 1,075$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.01 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Hornets | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 48c | 997.28$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Hornets | 53c | 943.14$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.36 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Hornets | 52c | 806.63$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 45c | 766.38$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.95 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Hornets | 54c | 699.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Spurs | 45c | 689.41$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.46 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 48c | 674.13$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Spurs | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Hornets | 53c | 569.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Hornets | 32c | 535.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Spurs | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Hornets | 60c | 480.7$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 48c | 443.54$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Hornets | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Hornets | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 47c | 348.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs | 48c | 342.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Hornets | 47c | 307.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 50c | 285.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Hornets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 48c | 254.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 44c | 241.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Hornets | 52c | 231.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Hornets | 52c | 227.27$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Hornets | 45c | 222.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Spurs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 52c | 212.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Hornets | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Hornets | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Spurs | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Hornets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Hornets | 54c | 186.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Spurs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 47c | 164.53$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 56c | 157.16$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Hornets | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 70c | 143.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Hornets | 51c | 137.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 60c | 133.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Hornets | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 46c | 127.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Hornets | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Hornets | 59c | 115.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Hornets | 59c | 111.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 50c | 109.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Hornets | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Hornets | 52c | 101.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Spurs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Hornets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Hornets | 53c | 99.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Hornets | 52c | 95.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Hornets | 52c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Spurs | 43c | 86.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spurs | 48c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Hornets | 42c | 71.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Spurs | 49c | 59.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Spurs | 43c | 59.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…b3cdbacked Hornets | 53c | 56.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Hornets | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Hornets | 45c | 54.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Spurs | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Spurs | 47c | 53.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 246 | 52.8%130 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 49c | 51.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Hornets | 46c | 51.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Hornets | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Hornets | 53c | 47.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hornets | 27c | 43.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Spurs | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Spurs | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Spurs | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Spurs | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Hornets vs. SpursSpurs won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.