TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Hornets49c100,000$49,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,199.9732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Hornets48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.9817250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs50c37,091$18,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,451.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs52c35,885$18,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,224.731,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs47c22,967$10,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,172.4830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Spurs50c13,124$6,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,618.3952460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Spurs50c12,562$6,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2816657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets48c12,432$5,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,932.474,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcaf…7755backed Spurs52c11,536$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.17850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hornets49c11,351$5,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,553.0748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs53c9,300$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,370.977759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Spurs52c9,128$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.4438750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Spurs53c8,946$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.344535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1c…4694backed Spurs52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs50c6,642$3,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.622,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs50c6,535$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.452,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Hornets53c5,189$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x935e…984bbacked Hornets49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hornets51c5,000$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.9969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs48c4,517$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.481,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6efe…191ebacked Hornets52c4,414$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs52c4,119$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.2370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Spurs52c3,929$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.7811653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs50c3,752$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hornets53c3,024$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.7258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Hornets47c2,530$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18917454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs50c2,519$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Spurs50c2,510$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets48c2,462$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Spurs50c2,200$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Spurs52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9608754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Spurs50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Hornets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…1a17backed Spurs51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Spurs48c1,950$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.1624744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86b0…a9e6backed Hornets47c1,909$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8977439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Spurs53c1,903$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8338143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3355…14e0backed Hornets47c1,892$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Spurs54c1,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.333860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f4…c48fbacked Hornets49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hornets53c1,698$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Spurs52c1,599$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.69352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f25…6e4dbacked Spurs51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b32…b3cabacked Spurs51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Hornets47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets49c1,282$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.1882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hornets52c1,274$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.0945151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs51c1,234$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.912,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Hornets48c1,200$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs50c1,161$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.42,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs51c1,003$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.525,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Hornets52c999.97$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9816953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Hornets54c981.78$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.169742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Hornets50c977.38$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.0220838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Hornets47c974.17$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.8615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5432347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…944ebacked Spurs53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Spurs48c937.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.58949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Spurs50c907$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.53831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Spurs50c852.41$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.4181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Hornets50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hornets46c769.71$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.071,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets50c756.16$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Spurs51c735.2$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.2524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Hornets53c635.85$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33717850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Hornets49c620.21$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6619045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee27…4396backed Spurs54c551.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Spurs47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7817644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Spurs46c425.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Spurs48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6731551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Hornets48c399.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Hornets53c377$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.811,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets47c341.08$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.312,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62f…4857backed Spurs51c329.41$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.413050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs52c322.92$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x096a…390bbacked Hornets54c320.37$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Spurs52c315.38$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.384854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Spurs52c303.55$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1328063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Spurs50c300$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.53351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Hornets48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14435444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Hornets55c290.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets52c271.91$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.791,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Spurs52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Spurs51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.93953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Spurs52c241.02$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.029545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Spurs52c228.63$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7413750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hornets49c225$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spurs52c211.35$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.551,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Hornets50c200.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Hornets50c200.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Spurs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hornets47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Spurs51c193.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9822154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Spurs52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3143447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Spurs50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9427059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.