TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Hornets, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,125 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa313…1f26backed Hornets22c2,655$594 inLost-$593.722123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs78c811.64$636 inWon+$175.275,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Spurs62c600$372 inWon+$2284367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bd8…c58bbacked Hornets38c428$163 inLost-$162.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Hornets40c426$170 inLost-$170.49629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Spurs66c390.7$258 inWon+$132.84977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c68…fafebacked Hornets38c326$124 inLost-$123.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e27…76ebbacked Spurs62c290$180 inWon+$110.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5235…6174backed Spurs62c231$143 inWon+$87.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa65…0a80backed Spurs62c211$131 inWon+$80.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2584…2891backed Spurs62c193$120 inWon+$73.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hornets35c190.32$67 inLost-$67.131,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee96…5c94backed Spurs62c170$105 inWon+$64.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ef…9debbacked Spurs62c142$88 inWon+$53.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…2499backed Hornets38c137$52 inLost-$52.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e7…435ebacked Hornets38c126$48 inLost-$47.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d4c5backed Hornets38c121$46 inLost-$45.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1028…9e14backed Hornets38c99$38 inLost-$37.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Spurs80c62.5$50 inWon+$12.54151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a5…328ebacked Hornets36c34.12$12 inLost-$12.4210844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Spurs64c33.3$21 inWon+$12.034637%17 W · 29 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Spurs66c31.3$21 inWon+$10.647261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc5…d556backed Spurs63c28.41$18 inWon+$10.611070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Spurs63c26.82$17 inWon+$9.9232747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Spurs63c19.01$12 inWon+$7.032,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.