TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,920 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under45c800$360 inWon+$4409842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c800$440 inLost-$4402,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e0…b25abacked Over53c356$189 inLost-$188.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…d4c5backed Over53c354$188 inLost-$187.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71d4…9b22backed Under47c339$159 inWon+$179.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4491…5fb1backed Over53c335$178 inLost-$177.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c77…ee67backed Over52c315$164 inLost-$163.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d6…1445backed Over52c301$157 inLost-$156.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5646…6864backed Over53c277$147 inLost-$146.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a7…53c5backed Under47c276$130 inWon+$146.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc6…51e5backed Under47c274$129 inWon+$145.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3587…9981backed Under47c271$127 inWon+$143.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…aa8abacked Under47c259$122 inWon+$137.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a89…7e3cbacked Over52c257$134 inLost-$133.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a3…ced2backed Under47c249$117 inWon+$131.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8367…54e9backed Under48c248$119 inWon+$128.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…ed1bbacked Under48c248$119 inWon+$128.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa4…805ebacked Over53c240$127 inLost-$127.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33f1…a493backed Under47c232$109 inWon+$122.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab9…95b5backed Over53c226$120 inLost-$119.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18fc…726bbacked Under47c221$104 inWon+$117.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf4f…c455backed Over53c220$117 inLost-$116.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e7…435ebacked Under47c215$101 inWon+$113.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under30c200$60 inWon+$1401,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Over70c200$140 inLost-$1409047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under40c193.33$77 inWon+$11620838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6702…0fefbacked Over60c193.33$116 inLost-$116333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d0…03e0backed Under48c175$84 inWon+$911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d72…1a00backed Over53c126$67 inLost-$66.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c18.18$11 inWon+$7.273,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.