TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,848 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under43c20,634$8,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,761.4454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over57c13,256$7,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.4134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d0…743dbacked Over50c8,600$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3001070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…06f8backed Under50c8,600$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c5,890$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed5f…9ffabacked Under50c4,652$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x470d…6651backed Over50c4,410$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc6…b4afbacked Over50c4,401$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d7…63a2backed Under50c4,214$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d63…e4a4backed Under48c4,211$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…84e3backed Under48c3,788$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f8…1531backed Under50c3,773$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fb…dd71backed Under48c3,366$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…d2f7backed Under50c3,265$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c57…965ebacked Under48c3,056$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c2,728$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5a…fedabacked Over50c2,703$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af4…d524backed Over50c2,655$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x174b…a23abacked Under50c2,619$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4381…c1a1backed Over50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c84…a513backed Under50c2,455$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5b…16a5backed Under50c2,455$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c2,428$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…b850backed Over50c2,414$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b0…de9fbacked Over50c2,411$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4556…4a65backed Over50c2,314$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0026…c6f2backed Over50c2,266$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1188…c64cbacked Under50c2,244$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7754…5d26backed Over50c2,233$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7245…bfcabacked Under50c2,221$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6acb…522cbacked Over50c2,212$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae48…069dbacked Over50c2,166$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…c9a4backed Over52c2,157$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fb…cc80backed Over50c2,144$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4b…0713backed Under50c2,111$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c2,073$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over45c2,068$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.8626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe043…4d07backed Over52c2,066$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57dd…d863backed Over52c2,022$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb592…6b69backed Over51c2,014$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a1…706fbacked Over52c2,011$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd48…95bcbacked Under50c2,011$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8075…058abacked Under50c2,011$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…28d3backed Under50c2,005$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f2…971fbacked Under50c1,999$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe46…8011backed Under50c1,991$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47c…5208backed Over50c1,988$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…ac69backed Over50c1,982$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…49e9backed Under50c1,977$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f2…6911backed Under50c1,966$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc566…7319backed Under50c1,929$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0067…615cbacked Over52c1,927$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187e…536fbacked Under50c1,899$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x544f…f17fbacked Over50c1,897$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbbe…bc94backed Over52c1,850$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8015…ee3bbacked Under50c1,841$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…5082backed Over50c1,756$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586a…cbc2backed Under50c1,747$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda57…81bdbacked Over50c1,745$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7240…3c0abacked Over52c1,723$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc80b…2c7abacked Under50c1,722$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77e4…e8f6backed Under50c1,698$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…36e9backed Under50c1,688$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb4…4e01backed Under50c1,688$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f48…cd2abacked Over50c1,666$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0d…06c4backed Over50c1,655$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over57c1,652$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x492f…0cf7backed Over50c1,650$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f1…1030backed Under50c1,636$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…7123backed Over50c1,633$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b20…0669backed Over50c1,628$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ff…a633backed Over52c1,625$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78e0…1ed4backed Over50c1,623$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa75f…318bbacked Over50c1,620$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x291a…c87cbacked Under50c1,582$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Over12c1,564$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7127059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2487…e75abacked Over50c1,552$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7f…68c9backed Over50c1,545$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over53c1,536$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8144641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…d224backed Under50c1,530$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f5…fc3bbacked Over52c1,524$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…45f0backed Under50c1,496$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25e…cb3dbacked Under50c1,455$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3e…96cdbacked Over50c1,450$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…f2a7backed Under50c1,444$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3147…edd9backed Over52c1,377$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8146…715dbacked Over50c1,331$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…e3aabacked Over50c1,157$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c1,120$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c1,085$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c1,085$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d72…9725backed Under50c1,080$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over27c987.79$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.074531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over57c880$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.611242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over40c876.63$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c848.66$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.762,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…ffebbacked Over50c834$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Under45c826.91$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.912450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…9d52backed Over51c797.5$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under49c744.9$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.910556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.