TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,487 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed Under45c21,896$9,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,042.5330845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over55c8,352$4,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over55c7,072$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.862,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c5,664$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c4,186$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under49c3,859$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.5325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c3,229$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.949,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d99…1273backed Over48c3,073$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over55c2,727$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.551,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53bd…c94abacked Under52c2,711$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c2,642$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc6…3e03backed Under52c2,622$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…664abacked Over48c2,366$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2610…761fbacked Under52c2,266$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c2,020$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.855,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed6…2fb4backed Over48c1,922$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c1,605$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa58…5ff1backed Over48c1,568$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9786…ba7cbacked Under52c1,522$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c1,412$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.993,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67216953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over55c1,267$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.851,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under53c1,160$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under45c851.25$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.443,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c850.35$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over54c659.38$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.015269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c644.6$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.532,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over55c629.55$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.149742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ac…a09bbacked Over57c624.57$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c571.61$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over54c554.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over55c540$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c532.56$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.974,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c506.29$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.84,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over50c499.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5367921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20058450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under46c385.78$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7ec8backed Over55c354.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-71.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9935444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea50…a691backed Over48c266$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over33c228.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…1c17backed Over48c222$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under45c211.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.31,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8fe…9f73backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under66c192.52$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.922,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under53c189.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6213148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over55c171.36$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.251,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under46c166.22$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1460945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11b3…dd04backed Under52c166$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over55c164.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4521748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over55c161.72$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c157.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.472,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c130$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8053…f0ddbacked Under52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b2…d03abacked Over54c115.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.521650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd465…f694backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under44c100.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.551,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c94.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c89.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under45c87.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9755444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c67.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2755347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c56.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under51c53.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1920949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c52.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over55c51.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4439943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.811946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c49.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.932,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over54c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c43.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Over51c42.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.693470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over49c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.220144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under47c36.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2946255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf884…0364backed Over53c33.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked Over53c32.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3612949.6%64 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over55c31.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3620140.3%81 W · 120 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Under47c29.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.533138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over46c28.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2613950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under48c28.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Over53c25.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.657443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over55c24.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.526043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73b8…020dbacked Under50c24.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.213148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.482,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over56c23.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.419553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Over51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.146026.7%16 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f15…0ce5backed Under47c21.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.553345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0232752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.