NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaae427c8cb5c388139d1b91614d7cd7f10151aa1f4d8e4c58db23df525fff40d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,487 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 45c | 21,896$9,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,042.53 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 55c | 8,352$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.6 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 55c | 7,072$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.86 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 5,664$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 4,186$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 49c | 3,859$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.53 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,229$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…1273backed Over | 48c | 3,073$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 55c | 2,727$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.55 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bd…c94abacked Under | 52c | 2,711$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 2,642$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…3e03backed Under | 52c | 2,622$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…664abacked Over | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…761fbacked Under | 52c | 2,266$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,020$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed6…2fb4backed Over | 48c | 1,922$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 1,605$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…5ff1backed Over | 48c | 1,568$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…ba7cbacked Under | 52c | 1,522$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 1,412$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 1,267$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.85 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 1,160$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 851.25$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.44 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 850.35$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 54c | 659.38$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.01 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 644.6$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.53 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 55c | 629.55$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…a09bbacked Over | 57c | 624.57$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 571.61$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.95 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 54c | 554.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 540$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 532.56$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 506.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 499.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 46c | 385.78$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Over | 55c | 354.55$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…a691backed Over | 48c | 266$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 33c | 228.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…1c17backed Over | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 211.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…9f73backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 66c | 192.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 171.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 166.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…dd04backed Under | 52c | 166$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 55c | 164.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 55c | 161.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 157.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…f0ddbacked Under | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…d03abacked Over | 54c | 115.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…f694backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 44c | 100.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 49c | 89.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 87.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 67.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 56.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 51c | 53.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 52.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 55c | 51.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 49.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 54c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 43.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Over | 51c | 42.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 47c | 36.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…0364backed Over | 53c | 33.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Over | 53c | 32.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 55c | 31.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Under | 47c | 29.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 46c | 28.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 28.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Over | 53c | 25.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 55c | 24.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…020dbacked Under | 50c | 24.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 56c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Under | 47c | 21.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Coby White: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Hornets vs. SpursSpurs won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.