NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eae0c86e128f7a8d5dd4ca7dfdae47b2970c6e55d3e16a404edff7df974358b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Mavericks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,398,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,398,234 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,952 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Mavericks | 26c | 204,574$52,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,789.22 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Magic | 70c | 97,900$68,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,299.18 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Magic | 74c | 61,600$45,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,016 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 74c | 57,750$42,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,015 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks | 24c | 53,646$12,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,665.92 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Mavericks | 26c | 52,974$13,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,773.28 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks | 44c | 47,461$20,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,885.93 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Magic | 73c | 40,280$29,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,811.96 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Mavericks | 26c | 39,217$10,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,196.42 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Magic | 74c | 39,105$28,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,167.29 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 71c | 31,728$22,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,051.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Mavericks | 23c | 30,301$6,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,969.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Magic | 77c | 30,300$23,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Mavericks | 37c | 30,098$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.99 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 68c | 26,837$18,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,507.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Magic | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 33c | 24,896$8,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,223.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 26c | 23,711$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.28 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Magic | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.95 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Magic | 75c | 19,932$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.63 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 75c | 18,749$14,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Mavericks | 23c | 17,958$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.56 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 78c | 15,000$11,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Magic | 74c | 15,000$11,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.27 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 75c | 14,681$11,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Mavericks | 26c | 14,500$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.99 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Magic | 69c | 14,414$9,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.83 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Mavericks | 22c | 14,400$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Magic | 78c | 14,400$11,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mavericks | 24c | 13,537$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.19 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Mavericks | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 42c | 12,910$5,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,493.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 73c | 12,080$8,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Mavericks | 26c | 12,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks | 29c | 11,797$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.71 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 39c | 11,603$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Magic | 67c | 11,364$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.17 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 25c | 11,218$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.42 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mavericks | 23c | 11,004$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.97 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Magic | 67c | 10,837$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.86 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Magic | 74c | 10,624$7,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.18 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Magic | 71c | 10,531$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.44 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic | 74c | 10,527$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.9 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 24c | 10,387$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.76 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Mavericks | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Magic | 76c | 9,125$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.5 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 22c | 8,966$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.49 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Magic | 77c | 8,727$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.2 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 72c | 8,570$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.84 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Mavericks | 34c | 8,485$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Mavericks | 24c | 8,246$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 25c | 8,168$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Magic | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Mavericks | 24c | 8,000$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.01 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Mavericks | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Magic | 77c | 7,662$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.27 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…7ac7backed Mavericks | 22c | 7,300$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 22c | 7,077$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 25c | 7,050$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…4e5fbacked Mavericks | 23c | 6,500$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Mavericks | 28c | 6,463$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Mavericks | 23c | 6,342$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.58 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Magic | 68c | 6,327$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.04 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Mavericks | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…1809backed Magic | 79c | 6,195$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.67 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks | 23c | 6,000$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.83 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Mavericks | 28c | 5,908$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.89 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Magic | 72c | 5,829$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.23 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Magic | 74c | 5,771$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.46 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Mavericks | 26c | 5,751$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.55 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mavericks | 27c | 5,625$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.95 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Magic | 77c | 5,400$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Mavericks | 23c | 5,400$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.99 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…e614backed Magic | 77c | 5,263$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 34c | 5,030$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.19 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mavericks | 1c | 5,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Magic | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Mavericks | 21c | 5,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…f2a1backed Magic | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.97 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks | 23c | 4,886$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.98 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 23c | 4,883$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.55 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Mavericks | 29c | 4,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 74c | 4,366$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Magic | 6c | 4,296$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.37 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0858…612ebacked Magic | 77c | 4,286$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Magic | 66c | 4,108$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.24 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Mavericks | 22c | 4,050$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Magic | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Magic | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…6f77backed Mavericks | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…cd75backed Magic | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Mavericks | 22c | 3,990$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.69 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Mavericks | 24c | 3,941$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.53 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Magic | 75c | 3,933$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Magic | 58c | 3,933$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.3 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mavericks | 35c | 3,923$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.39 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.