NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc401f260f900b47e11699ba0335559a4bebe295b21b0aa86c7eb95b9f23f5678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over | 50c | 8,024$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.46 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 6,384$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.85 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 3,750$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…1dbcbacked Under | 52c | 2,022$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 1,905$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.87 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…f9d5backed Over | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,842$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 1,773$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 52c | 1,765$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.96 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 53c | 1,686$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 47c | 1,553$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.91 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Over | 48c | 1,396$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…19f8backed Under | 52c | 1,279$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 1,004$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 50c | 940$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 55c | 875$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.62 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 52c | 859$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.32 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 803$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 771.96$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.98 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 55c | 708.92$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 681.02$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 649.75$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 647.63$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…3f5dbacked Under | 50c | 647$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…998bbacked Over | 50c | 639$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 616.73$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 74c | 598.36$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 32c | 536.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 53c | 525$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 492.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 53c | 479.2$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 438.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 60c | 371.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 75c | 370.46$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 44c | 358.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.05 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 356.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 294$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 53c | 282.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 48c | 282$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 48c | 277.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 31c | 264.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 42c | 220.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 214.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 211.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 202.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…446fbacked Over | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…a7d1backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 59c | 191.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 179$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 46c | 173$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…95fbbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 166.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 156.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…bba5backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6c…bf5abacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 48c | 129.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 45c | 129.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 49c | 118.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 54c | 114.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 57c | 113$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…4f0ebacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Over | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 72.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 45c | 54.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 50c | 49.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 33c | 41.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 53c | 40.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 51c | 39.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 69c | 36.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 33.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. MagicMagic won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.