NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x959b28fa3ea59610efe8f9c981fccb6e6ae0b71867e9663bb9c5e4dc17c01331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Magic, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,697 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Magic | 52c | 72,769$37,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,662.14 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Mavericks | 49c | 29,185$14,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,030.37 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Mavericks | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 48c | 10,640$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,533.05 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 50c | 9,796$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.34 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,408$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.68 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 53c | 4,411$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.09 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 48c | 2,584$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,337$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.57 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Mavericks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Magic | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…8290backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 52c | 1,801$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,687$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 51c | 1,606$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,490$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Magic | 53c | 1,454$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.19 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 51c | 1,297$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 54c | 1,090$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.68 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 52c | 676$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Magic | 51c | 618.81$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.62 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Mavericks | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 491.84$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.84 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Magic | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Magic | 47c | 384.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Magic | 52c | 338.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Magic | 53c | 332.75$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.07 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 50c | 309$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Magic | 52c | 288.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Magic | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Magic | 53c | 264.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mavericks | 50c | 229.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Magic | 56c | 227.4$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mavericks | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Magic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Magic | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Magic | 53c | 188.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 50c | 180.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…3fe7backed Magic | 52c | 170.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Magic | 53c | 166$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 54c | 136$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Mavericks | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 49c | 124.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Magic | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Magic | 53c | 104.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…70ccbacked Mavericks | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Magic | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Magic | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mavericks | 58c | 85.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Magic | 51c | 80.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Magic | 51c | 78.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Magic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Magic | 53c | 75.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Mavericks | 59c | 72.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Magic | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Magic | 53c | 66.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdb…02c3backed Magic | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Magic | 45c | 63.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 45c | 63.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…2e0abacked Magic | 53c | 60.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 50.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Magic | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 46c | 45.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6b04backed Magic | 58c | 40.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Magic | 47c | 40.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Magic | 51c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Magic | 44c | 37.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Mavericks | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Magic | 51c | 34.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Magic | 51c | 32.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Magic | 48c | 31.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…8335backed Magic | 53c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Mavericks | 43c | 28.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2864…1010backed Magic | 53c | 28.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Magic | 51c | 24.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Magic | 48c | 20.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Magic | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mavericks | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. MagicMagic won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.