NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f43a044e382e64b7f51e533f80c4b5f0411b744e8b618076d1495a4baf34931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Magic, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,502 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 49c | 50,669$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Magic | 47c | 48,000$22,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,460 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Mavericks | 53c | 41,618$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,618.29 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 47c | 37,030$17,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,369 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Mavericks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 13,582$6,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,703.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mavericks | 54c | 11,641$6,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,389.86 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 48c | 11,525$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 11,348$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.6 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Magic | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.97 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Magic | 46c | 8,692$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.32 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 7,225$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 48c | 7,067$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.95 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,908$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.34 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,801$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 53c | 6,658$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Magic | 46c | 6,510$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.61 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 49c | 6,471$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.31 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Mavericks | 50c | 6,417$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.14 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,587$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.76 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Magic | 50c | 5,567$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.7 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Magic | 52c | 5,500$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Magic | 50c | 5,200$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.99 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,005$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.92 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Mavericks | 53c | 4,684$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.27 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Magic | 50c | 3,792$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.83 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,776$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 54c | 3,543$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.19 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 3,083$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Magic | 50c | 2,803$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Magic | 54c | 2,611$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Magic | 54c | 2,320$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.85 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,283$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.07 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 2c | 2,212$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Magic | 52c | 2,112$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.13 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 39c | 2,027$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Magic | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Mavericks | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Magic | 48c | 1,832$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.37 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,779$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…6441backed Magic | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Magic | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 51c | 1,457$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,454$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b0…0b70backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,399$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,377$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,334$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…e89dbacked Magic | 50c | 1,324$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Magic | 61c | 1,293$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.49 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…f654backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,248$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.41 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Magic | 53c | 1,096$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…9a5bbacked Magic | 50c | 1,084$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,076$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…5e17backed Magic | 50c | 1,068$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Magic | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…e614backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,029$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.17 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4d…8324backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…6085backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Magic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…bd80backed Magic | 50c | 992$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…9233backed Mavericks | 51c | 981.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Magic | 50c | 980.84$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 979.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0309…821dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 976$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…7b3abacked Mavericks | 50c | 962.88$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fd…9497backed Mavericks | 50c | 952$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Magic | 46c | 929.49$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.56 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…9aa8backed Mavericks | 50c | 901$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e5…64b5backed Magic | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 53c | 896.68$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…1947backed Magic | 50c | 894$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…34babacked Magic | 50c | 881$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…6598backed Magic | 50c | 866$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…7912backed Magic | 50c | 864$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d41…50c7backed Magic | 50c | 852$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…9de0backed Mavericks | 50c | 844$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…3eadbacked Magic | 50c | 840$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…4825backed Mavericks | 50c | 806$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…bdf3backed Mavericks | 50c | 784$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f33cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 774$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…2bffbacked Magic | 50c | 772$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Magic | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…a445backed Mavericks | 50c | 762$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Magic | 52c | 754.06$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…5f61backed Mavericks | 50c | 748$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…184dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 728$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…9af7backed Mavericks | 51c | 722.61$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…bbebbacked Magic | 50c | 708$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb191…43bdbacked Magic | 50c | 696$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…f895backed Mavericks | 50c | 680$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…bc85backed Mavericks | 50c | 676$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Magic | 51c | 653.93$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.39 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872a…ea65backed Magic | 50c | 642$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. MagicMagic won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.