NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be3146f2616cc129c50d731a83a0306a3ce30e75685b5a88c294cfaf14df318

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,135 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Over	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,499.99	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Under	49c	28,000$13,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,280	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	51c	15,207$7,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,697.89	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under	49c	10,194$4,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,198.91	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under	49c	8,979$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,579.38	166	40.4%67 W · 99 L	-14.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	53c	8,022$4,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,217.06	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under	50c	6,575$3,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,287.71	151	47%71 W · 80 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Under	51c	6,150$3,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,013.5	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over	50c	5,695$2,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,844.69	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	49c	5,592$2,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,851.84	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	49c	5,437$2,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,772.73	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9497…8290backed Under	49c	5,136$2,517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,618.75	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	2c	4,212$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.02	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	49c	3,869$1,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,973.19	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	3,477$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,761	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Over	48c	3,260$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.8	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.22	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	52c	2,500$1,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.49	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	2,009$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.09	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.98	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	49c	1,566$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.95	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	53c	1,469$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.35	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	49c	1,301$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.5	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	1,176$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.56	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over	49c	900$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	48c	899.97$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.98	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under	49c	820$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.2	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	50c	810.43$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.78	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	51c	677.57$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.51	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	51c	627.45$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.45	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over	52c	520$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.86	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under	49c	510$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.1	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	50c	465.01$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.5	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	47c	422$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.34	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under	53c	378.18$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.18	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	52c	356.19$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.78	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over	50c	333.69$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.75	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	51c	284.83$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.36	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	281.98$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.71	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	50c	281.08$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.58	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	20c	267.06$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.41	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ab…cf5abacked Under	80c	267.06$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.41	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under	50c	256$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over	55c	253.9$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.01	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	243.74$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.75	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.2	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under	49c	196.07$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	48c	193.93$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.84	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over	53c	189.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a0…e4a4backed Over	52c	183.92$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.64	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Over	47c	150.68$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.82	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.5wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under	50c	140$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	375	49.6%186 W · 189 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	52c	137$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.24	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	51c	126.48$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.1	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under	51c	125.02$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.26	220	48.6%107 W · 113 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	48c	123.7$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.33	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over	51c	120$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.2	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over	52c	118.47$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	51c	114$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	102.98$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.16	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	49c	102$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.53	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	394	35.3%139 W · 255 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	50c	99$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	48c	97.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.67	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under	50c	92.01$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.01	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	91.34$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.49	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa7…2bb4backed Over	52c	88.27$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-6.7wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under	50c	66.04$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…84f5backed Under	49c	66$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.66	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over	51c	64.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	48c	61.28$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over	51c	60.51$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.86	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Over	52c	60.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under	50c	56.88$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.44	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	123	64.2%79 W · 44 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a0…fd6bbacked Under	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Under	51c	45.74$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.44	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over	52c	41.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e93…8af8backed Under	54c	40.74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	355	51.3%182 W · 173 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	143	57.3%82 W · 61 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under	52c	36.54$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.54	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5this page
1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Mavericks won
1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Mavericks won
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5No won
Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. MagicMagic won
Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Magic (-10.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Magic (-7.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Magic (-8.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Magic (-9.5)Mavericks won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event