TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,476 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3af8…a69ebacked Yes7c1,484$110 inLost-$1103925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed No69c646.18$447 inWon+$199.5426069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…8357backed Yes32c540.2$175 inLost-$175922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed No66c518.06$340 inWon+$178.545657%260 W · 196 L+44.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No74c482.14$355 inWon+$127.491,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes25c382.28$95 inLost-$94.6877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa858…3684backed Yes26c346.24$90 inLost-$90540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Yes32c325$104 inLost-$1041338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043f…ca25backed No68c325$221 inWon+$1046361.9%39 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed No67c304$204 inWon+$100.3216361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f4…1b58backed Yes27c273.04$73 inLost-$731030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No78c221.36$173 inWon+$48.721243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…e5f7backed Yes22c221.36$49 inLost-$48.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6793…1869backed Yes34c194.12$66 inLost-$667022.9%16 W · 54 L-14.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x16ef…3792backed Yes36c155.56$56 inLost-$563729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No76c141.86$108 inWon+$34.274,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…a966backed Yes34c137.88$47 inLost-$46.8860%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No64c74.99$48 inWon+$2722774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb48…ffe7backed No67c50$34 inWon+$16.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No77c50$39 inWon+$11.496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9704…9d43backed Yes34c46.47$16 inLost-$15.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No74c40$30 inWon+$10.490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No76c29.3$22 inWon+$7.1783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No74c24.97$18 inWon+$6.4992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.