NBA · resolved market
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5084a40dc788672427348c1639202edd9f862bb35844c704d16a2e4906e301c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,491 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,286$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.57 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 56c | 1,211$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,060$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Yes | 47c | 898$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.24 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 60c | 783.28$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 61c | 722.63$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.96 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 64c | 500$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 456 | 57%260 W · 196 L | +44.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 61c | 408.45$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 40c | 290$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 53c | 218.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 62c | 158.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…4eb0backed Yes | 39c | 129.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed No | 70c | 117.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…0673backed Yes | 37c | 100.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Yes | 37c | 81.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 65c | 52.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed No | 65c | 52.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 62c | 45.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…a875backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 60c | 38.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…08d6backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 68c | 37.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 60c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Yes | 64c | 27.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -11.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 61c | 26.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Yes | 52c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 64c | 15.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 18.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Mavericks won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. MagicMagic won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Mavericks won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.