Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48177b4a78b1d2d6d836981587b853454fa7a44d583a9752626ec0e97456e213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…508fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,450$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 14c | 1,026$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 8c | 959.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…dbfbbacked Yes | 25c | 894.72$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…7534backed Yes | 14c | 847.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 806.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 20c | 765.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 18c | 673.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 660.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 22c | 622.39$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 2c | 591.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 5c | 559.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 529.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…4fc5backed Yes | 3c | 527.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 494.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 5c | 485.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 4c | 479.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 14c | 447.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 16c | 447.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 422.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…def2backed No | 77c | 412.74$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 7c | 404.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 9c | 344.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 319.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 265.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…6770backed Yes | 17c | 262.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…941bbacked Yes | 18c | 252.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…2080backed Yes | 4c | 251.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 15c | 245.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed No | 80c | 245.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked Yes | 19c | 241.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 18c | 227.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 18c | 225.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…750bbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…c2c6backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b884backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…6747backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…92b6backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…e9f9backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf565…cb93backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf821…f546backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…0b31backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…603bbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…e39ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…8769backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63fd…ae6ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…eed5backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…36a8backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…120ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…a1c9backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…6804backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…d952backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 15c | 196.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…1167backed Yes | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed Yes | 11c | 180.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb661…7b36backed Yes | 17c | 164.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…e9ffbacked Yes | 14c | 163.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…62adbacked Yes | 17c | 162.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab1…3ed3backed Yes | 21c | 159.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…87f7backed Yes | 11c | 155.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 10c | 155.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed Yes | 7c | 154.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 76c | 150.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 18c | 144$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…25b5backed Yes | 14c | 140.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 370 | 7.8%29 W · 341 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…e901backed Yes | 17c | 137.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…89f5backed Yes | 14c | 128.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Yes | 14c | 128.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…69e7backed Yes | 10c | 124.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b85abacked Yes | 18c | 119.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Yes | 24c | 116.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…3056backed Yes | 17c | 103.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 14c | 101.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…5d8bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…063fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…5447backed Yes | 22c | 99.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +263.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 19c | 97.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 11c | 91.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 18c | 90.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 19c | 87.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 79c | 83.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 17c | 79.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…096fbacked Yes | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…72cfbacked Yes | 17c | 78.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…64b6backed Yes | 20c | 78.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 19c | 74.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…6e6abacked Yes | 19c | 72.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked Yes | 20c | 70.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 23c | 70.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 21c | 69.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…8b90backed Yes | 17c | 69.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…85f7backed Yes | 20c | 69.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…c158backed Yes | 23c | 64.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…4306backed Yes | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.