NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Timberwolves

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32fe0123541f418ac88eb398d643f037c1ac40d0c221d2c896547cd91c3df9fb

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Raptors, Timberwolves
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,487,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,581,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,487,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Raptors	35c	400,603$140,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140,210.89	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves	65c	200,000$130,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70,000	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves	65c	161,817$105,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,635.94	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Raptors	35c	140,000$49,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,000	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Raptors	35c	115,877$40,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,373.41	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors	35c	97,415$34,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,095.32	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Timberwolves	66c	75,000$49,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,499.99	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves	66c	74,134$48,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,156.8	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	65c	62,063$40,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,510.83	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Timberwolves	66c	42,492$28,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,447.28	255	46.7%119 W · 136 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves	68c	38,813$26,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,400.88	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Raptors	34c	38,077$13,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,101.38	117	37.6%44 W · 73 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Raptors	34c	36,588$12,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,439.8	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Raptors	35c	36,484$12,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,721.8	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	67c	36,073$24,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,071.73	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves	66c	34,584$22,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,621.92	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	65c	31,715$20,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,942.73	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves	67c	28,517$19,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,410.65	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors	35c	28,457$9,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,875.41	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Raptors	33c	27,500$9,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,075	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Timberwolves	67c	27,499$18,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,074.75	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves	65c	27,204$17,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,509.8	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves	65c	25,755$16,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,014.24	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Timberwolves	67c	25,500$17,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,414.99	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Raptors	33c	25,500$8,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,414.98	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Timberwolves	63c	24,006$15,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,882.39	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors	32c	21,840$7,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,043.71	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Raptors	33c	20,665$6,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,870.53	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Raptors	35c	20,233$7,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,081.71	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves	65c	18,794$12,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,577.9	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ee…eb13backed Raptors	33c	18,775$6,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,195.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Timberwolves	63c	16,272$10,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,098.79	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves	66c	15,171$9,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,211.29	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Timberwolves	65c	15,050$9,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,217.98	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Raptors	33c	14,469$4,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,778.79	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves	65c	14,233$9,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,971.67	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	66c	14,114$9,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,753.46	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves	65c	14,010$9,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,959.05	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Raptors	35c	13,500$4,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,765	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raptors	32c	13,192$4,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,221.54	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Timberwolves	66c	11,953$7,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,072.6	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves	66c	11,820$7,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,067.7	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors	35c	11,275$3,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,946.14	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked Timberwolves	66c	10,606$7,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,606.06	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Raptors	7c	10,363$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.7	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Raptors	39c	10,214$3,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,973.16	852	48.9%417 W · 435 L	+26.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Timberwolves	67c	10,154$6,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,389.48	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Raptors	33c	10,006$3,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,301.98	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Raptors	36c	10,000$3,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,550	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Raptors	34c	9,899$3,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,365.73	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4c…444cbacked Timberwolves	66c	9,725$6,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,307.33	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves	64c	9,660$6,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,477.59	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves	66c	9,267$6,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,118.2	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors	21c	8,978$1,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,895.97	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Timberwolves	63c	8,853$5,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,307.31	161	46%74 W · 87 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Raptors	35c	8,363$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,950.68	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Raptors	35c	8,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Raptors	36c	7,739$2,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,786	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Timberwolves	65c	7,692$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,692.31	527	60%316 W · 211 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves	67c	7,664$5,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,535.68	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves	61c	7,651$4,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,980.38	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Timberwolves	66c	7,500$4,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Timberwolves	66c	7,365$4,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,504.1	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors	35c	7,146$2,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,515	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors	21c	7,012$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.01	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves	65c	7,002$4,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.52	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors	36c	6,631$2,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,388.73	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Raptors	35c	6,625$2,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.1	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Raptors	33c	6,475$2,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,136.82	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves	65c	6,367$4,141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,226.05	251	38.6%97 W · 154 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors	44c	6,179$2,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,697.17	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Timberwolves	65c	6,149$3,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,152.15	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Raptors	11c	6,047$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Raptors	1c	6,021$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Raptors	34c	6,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,040	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Timberwolves	67c	6,000$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves	65c	6,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,099.98	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves	65c	5,984$3,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,094.38	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Timberwolves	66c	5,930$3,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,026.73	209	47.8%100 W · 109 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Raptors	33c	5,758$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	164	21.3%35 W · 129 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Raptors	0c	5,710$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves	67c	5,500$3,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,827.49	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves	67c	5,500$3,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,838.06	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves	80c	5,305$4,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,061.68	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves	64c	5,211$3,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.74	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors	1c	5,204$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.04	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves	65c	5,074$3,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,775.97	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…a33dbacked Raptors	0c	5,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Raptors	32c	5,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.93	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8238backed Timberwolves	68c	4,900$3,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,568	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Raptors	34c	4,584$1,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560.63	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…caa7backed Raptors	37c	4,460$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves	67c	4,450$2,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.92	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves	66c	4,367$2,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,498.74	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves	65c	4,273$2,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,505.03	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors	34c	4,229$1,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445.97	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors	1c	4,200$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves	64c	4,078$2,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,478.46	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Timberwolves	66c	4,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	386	49.7%192 W · 194 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Raptors	35c	3,984$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.4	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Timberwolvesthis page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Raptors won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Timberwolves

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event