TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,889 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c3,919$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over47c3,789$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7898444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c3,595$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.554,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under56c3,359$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.5721250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c3,172$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.632,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c2,343$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.838,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c2,068$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.161,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under60c1,541$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.6651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c1,355$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under57c1,009$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.7711159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under50c895.5$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.081,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over20c876.59$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.091,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over40c864.25$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c831.92$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3269149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under62c765$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.871,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c699.21$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.632,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27614152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over11c526.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under56c490.2$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over37c476.47$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.291,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c439.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c434$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.721,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under51c430.29$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8418650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under53c427.19$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7845542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over44c424.79$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over43c394.35$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over33c372.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.151,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over42c334.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c333.91$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.922,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over40c264.21$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.633,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under54c259.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2626048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c212.18$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.821,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under55c198.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.693,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4129554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over41c171$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1156547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under53c169.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5217243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under57c166.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2520847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.962,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c127.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over52c110.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4430845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over44c107.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa382…ed19backed Over39c100.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under61c100.52$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.220762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under59c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1738540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454025%10 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7215953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over43c84.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.413,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over51c83.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over44c79.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Under49c76.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.275152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under61c75.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over46c74.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over16c69.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Under55c65.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.453839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c6…988abacked Under62c64.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.681957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…dddfbacked Over47c60.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.383243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under55c51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.635,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under46c41.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4910637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over43c37.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.082,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under57c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.918653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d61…418dbacked Over43c36.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.835662.5%35 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c0…d4dcbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9677…116fbacked Under61c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68c…c8b1backed Over39c34.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.343228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3354854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Under57c31.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.587354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over42c28.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over45c27.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2620350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Over51c27.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c25.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under53c21.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.257159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60c1…9767backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dd…e22cbacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Under53c19.18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0211444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under73c13.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7314860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.