NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f754021f0d5ccfb6a2cec584da553bc06ce96a479b2ccdcb43fc1b2deb76b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $732,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,390 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 434,380$217,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217,190.03 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 50c | 325,363$163,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,104.52 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 198,079$99,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,039.41 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 81,833$40,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,916.73 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 46,204$23,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,102 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 18,434$9,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,217.11 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 6,576$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.12 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 49c | 6,166$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.47 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 5,809$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 5,416$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 5,414$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.85 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 5,318$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 3,755$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…e614backed Under | 50c | 3,703$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.39 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.28 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,305$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.34 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 51c | 2,231$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.37 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 1,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,810$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 1,572$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.64 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,504$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.61 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 53c | 1,258$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.45 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,076$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.24 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 855.11$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 841$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.33 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 751.84$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 696.58$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 605.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 603.01$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.24 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 561.27$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.12 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 554.28$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Under | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 505$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 504.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 50c | 500.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 51c | 406$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 378.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Under | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 331$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 52c | 327.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 47c | 246.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Under | 50c | 240.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 45c | 227.69$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 47c | 188.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 43c | 158.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Over | 50c | 121.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…bba5backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Over | 50c | 118.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 52c | 118.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 48c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 51c | 101.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Under | 50c | 101.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 53c | 94.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 51c | 92.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 50c | 86.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 53c | 84.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 58c | 80.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Under | 51c | 77.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 65.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…849abacked Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…01aebacked Under | 52c | 63.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Over | 50c | 62.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Under | 51c | 57.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…f530backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Over | 51c | 56.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Raptors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.