NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45cb218a861ed0b7111fd1536f1ae4509b947e5645cc980ac70af27f5a511b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,867 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over | 46c | 6,809$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 54c | 6,087$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.14 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 3,810$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.44 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 2,617$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,785$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 45c | 1,498$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.1 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,309$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.49 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee08…c228backed Over | 50c | 976$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…ecbbbacked Over | 50c | 936$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe475…4768backed Under | 50c | 889$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83d…28b0backed Under | 50c | 884$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 856.21$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…0767backed Over | 50c | 792$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…64edbacked Under | 50c | 752$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1611…3b81backed Over | 50c | 707$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 681.91$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…da5abacked Under | 50c | 654$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 23c | 638$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 48c | 519.65$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Under | 52c | 478.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 439.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…b727backed Over | 50c | 413$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 405$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 397.9$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 384.05$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 358.27$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 64c | 351.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 332.49$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 36c | 312.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…0729backed Under | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 170.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 143.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…96c9backed Under | 50c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 88.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Under | 57c | 87.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 80.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 34c | 74.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…fae1backed Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…a934backed Under | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…d84dbacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 46.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 55c | 44.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c7…dd9ebacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 39.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…5905backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…987cbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 48c | 31.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 46c | 28.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 24.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…d3c8backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -14.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Raptors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.