NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88bbadcb30c6fe43595602fcd1ed94a80c1e4782430f63af0fd89b1fa1f799ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,523 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 49c | 51,093$24,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,789.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.89 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves | 53c | 15,307$8,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.93 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 12,960$6,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.2 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…2d4cbacked Raptors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…95ccbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 9,885$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744.69 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Raptors | 50c | 9,000$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,470 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 47c | 5,844$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves | 52c | 5,565$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.38 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 47c | 5,527$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.61 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 51c | 5,480$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 47c | 4,787$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 48c | 3,511$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,892$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.2 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,860$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,672$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Timberwolves | 54c | 2,653$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.27 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,480$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.51 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors | 47c | 2,420$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.1 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 2,250$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 47c | 2,190$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,179$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.2 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,902$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,877$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.96 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.59 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Raptors | 51c | 686.47$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 7c | 629.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Raptors | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 52c | 531$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 483.78$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 434.02$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Raptors | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Timberwolves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Raptors | 49c | 300.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Raptors | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors | 47c | 232.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 46c | 211.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Raptors | 45c | 204.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Raptors | 46c | 189.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Raptors | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 146.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Timberwolves | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…0512backed Timberwolves | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 48c | 127.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Raptors | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Timberwolves | 51c | 119.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Raptors | 48c | 103.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raptors | 47c | 94.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors | 27c | 78.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Timberwolves | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Timberwolves | 47c | 74.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Raptors | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Raptors | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 62.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 60.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Timberwolves | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 49c | 54.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 54.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Raptors | 49c | 53.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Raptors | 50c | 47.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Timberwolves | 54c | 46.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 44.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Raptors | 46c | 43.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Raptors | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed Raptors | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…8a96backed Timberwolves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Raptors | 49c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…555cbacked Raptors | 48c | 37.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 53c | 35.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Raptors | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Raptors | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 24.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Timberwolves | 53c | 22.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Raptors | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Timberwolves | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Raptors | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…00febacked Timberwolves | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Timberwolves | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Raptors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.