TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,523 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors49c51,093$24,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,789.22,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Timberwolves52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.8929351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Timberwolves53c15,307$8,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,187.9351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves53c12,960$6,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,091.228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa01b…2d4cbacked Raptors50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c5…95ccbacked Timberwolves50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves52c9,885$5,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.6923147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Raptors50c9,000$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,47019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors47c5,844$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves52c5,565$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.3817050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Raptors47c5,527$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.6192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors51c5,480$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors47c4,787$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors48c3,511$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.884,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Timberwolves48c2,892$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves53c2,860$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.851,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves47c2,672$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4161,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Timberwolves54c2,653$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.279547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves48c2,480$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.513,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors47c2,420$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves53c2,250$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors47c2,190$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.782,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Timberwolves51c2,179$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.28953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves52c1,902$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Timberwolves52c1,877$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.9695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Timberwolves51c1,024$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.598765.5%57 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Raptors49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Raptors51c686.47$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors7c629.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.091,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Raptors48c599.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves52c531$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.91,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Timberwolves54c483.78$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.226638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Timberwolves48c434.02$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6945542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Raptors48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19022746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Raptors50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Timberwolves52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6236143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Timberwolves52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Raptors49c300.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.741,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Raptors50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Timberwolves54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7811754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors47c232.79$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors48c222$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors46c211.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Raptors45c204.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Raptors46c189.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7249351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Raptors50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Timberwolves53c146.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.919852%103 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Timberwolves49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8439055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…0512backed Timberwolves51c133.33$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Timberwolves53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2823350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors48c127.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Raptors56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8930845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Timberwolves51c119.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.321854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Timberwolves48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1760250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Raptors48c103.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Raptors49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Timberwolves52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1526345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Timberwolves52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raptors47c94.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.43,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Raptors27c78.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.342,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Timberwolves52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Timberwolves47c74.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0534248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Raptors49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.923349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Raptors50c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves50c62.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.051,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves52c60.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Timberwolves52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Timberwolves52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6911652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves49c54.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.892,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Timberwolves52c54.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Raptors49c53.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Raptors50c47.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8562844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Timberwolves54c46.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.174949%24 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Timberwolves47c44.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5819750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c42…bfaebacked Raptors46c43.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010842.6%46 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Raptors57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.812540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Timberwolves52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…4408backed Raptors47c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.332969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2db5…8a96backed Timberwolves52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.467842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Raptors49c38.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.669850%49 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a5…555cbacked Raptors48c37.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves53c35.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Raptors57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9511850%59 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Raptors47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Timberwolves45c24.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Timberwolves53c22.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.735054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Raptors49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7853945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Timberwolves52c20.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.076150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Raptors50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaad9…00febacked Timberwolves59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Timberwolves52c19.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2625651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.