NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a10075e77ea0f2c193a6fe8bdba1c4ff8fb353bef98d83b15f54376236d9857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,914 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 48c | 212,708$102,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,742.36 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 170,342$88,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,577.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 80,000$39,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,699.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…68b5backed Under | 51c | 25,484$12,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,487.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 21,176$10,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,528.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba93…2740backed Under | 50c | 15,838$7,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 10,301$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.28 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 8,998$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 47c | 8,069$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.05 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 7,968$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.9 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 6,263$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.02 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 50c | 5,225$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 50c | 5,020$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.8 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 4,910$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 4,476$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.9 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 4,412$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 71c | 4,366$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.71 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 3,532$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.25 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…ca67backed Under | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 3,300$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 2,775$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 2,722$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.15 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,600$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 48c | 2,097$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.88 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,024$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…e614backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 1,946$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.11 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 51c | 1,863$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.75 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 1,235$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.93 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 1,058$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 970.45$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.36 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 962.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 952.51$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.3 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 53c | 943.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…68bbbacked Over | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 371.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 57c | 366.13$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 32c | 364.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 363.47$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 50c | 343.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 53c | 309.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 59c | 263.2$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…9c7dbacked Over | 49c | 230.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 212.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…023dbacked Over | 49c | 205.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Over | 51c | 195.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 34c | 176.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 161$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 51c | 158.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 46c | 153.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 47c | 150.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 50c | 138.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 52c | 130.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 50c | 123.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 45c | 120.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 64c | 118.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 111.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 110.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 100.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 50c | 96.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 36c | 95.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4396…332abacked Over | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 39c | 83.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 30c | 77.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Under | 71c | 73.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d69…01aebacked Under | 50c | 70.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 29c | 70.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Over | 58c | 62.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 29c | 60.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 52c | 54.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 51c | 50.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1f…0568backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 65c | 49.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Raptors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.