NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05133a5f52346aa3ef691e4b022c5ff1f603cb6a8f1111d288e50c5dff3c36e2

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Raptors
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $363,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked Timberwolves	48c	50,000$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,000	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Raptors	52c	49,449$25,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,713.52	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves	51c	45,000$22,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,049.97	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	50c	34,418$17,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,259.42	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Raptors	52c	28,882$15,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,018.81	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors	49c	27,500$13,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,475	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves	50c	21,863$11,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,857.18	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Timberwolves	51c	20,796$10,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,190.04	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	50c	20,079$9,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,978.02	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fb…6543backed Raptors	52c	19,129$9,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,946.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Timberwolves	51c	12,500$6,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,125	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	50c	12,303$6,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,127.82	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors	50c	11,286$5,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,643.19	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	48c	10,059$4,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,236.07	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.98	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors	50c	9,272$4,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,597.36	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	57c	8,278$4,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,706.67	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	49c	8,184$4,038 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,145.5	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Timberwolves	51c	8,000$4,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,919.98	120	45%54 W · 66 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves	41c	7,613$3,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,497.94	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Raptors	50c	6,802$3,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,397.6	170	50%85 W · 85 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves	48c	6,583$3,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,445.41	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Timberwolves	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Raptors	52c	4,021$2,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,091.07	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Raptors	50c	4,000$2,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,004.99	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Raptors	50c	3,678$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.86	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Raptors	49c	3,364$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.36	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Raptors	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves	47c	2,484$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,311.02	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Timberwolves	51c	2,257$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.32	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors	49c	2,250$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.5	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors	51c	1,927$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.06	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors	49c	1,920$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.8	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Raptors	53c	1,887$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.86	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves	48c	1,572$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$817.59	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves	46c	1,498$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.84	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves	49c	1,454$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.11	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Timberwolves	48c	1,388$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.5	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Timberwolves	51c	1,320$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.8	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves	48c	1,186$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.47	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves	48c	1,096$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.04	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Timberwolves	51c	1,089$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.61	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Timberwolves	44c	973.14$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.83	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Timberwolves	47c	904$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.12	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Timberwolves	51c	877.18$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.82	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Raptors	53c	800$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Timberwolves	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Timberwolves	52c	750.63$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.3	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Timberwolves	49c	722.5$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.47	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Raptors	49c	605.98$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.3	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Timberwolves	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Raptors	57c	524$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.68	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Raptors	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Timberwolves	48c	416.65$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.65	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves	46c	414.03$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.58	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Raptors	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Timberwolves	49c	388$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.88	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors	50c	363.76$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.21	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Raptors	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	528	44.7%236 W · 292 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43ab…b6ffbacked Raptors	53c	287.99$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.44	85	55.3%47 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Raptors	49c	285.71$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Timberwolves	53c	283.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.02	260	48.1%125 W · 135 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Raptors	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves	49c	281.86$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.39	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Raptors	52c	280.15$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.68	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Timberwolves	48c	277.33$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.21	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Timberwolves	49c	259.35$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.62	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves	48c	251.52$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.52	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Timberwolves	52c	243.33$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.8	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Raptors	52c	241.14$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.39	831	58.1%483 W · 348 L	+18.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Raptors	52c	225.14$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.99	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Timberwolves	52c	214.23$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.83	144	66%95 W · 49 L	+17.1wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Raptors	52c	212$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.24	241	51%123 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2c…2d2abacked Raptors	52c	209.62$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+51%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…d0eebacked Timberwolves	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves	47c	207.22$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.91	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Raptors	54c	203.7$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Raptors	47c	201.78$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.84	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Raptors	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Raptors	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Raptors	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves	48c	187.56$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.03	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Timberwolves	52c	186.02$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.29	140	53.6%75 W · 65 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce64…9b19backed Raptors	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Timberwolves	52c	180.13$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.46	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Timberwolves	52c	179.96$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.38	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors	49c	165.14$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.92	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Timberwolves	52c	156.08$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.92	306	54.6%167 W · 139 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa538…d3b0backed Timberwolves	52c	152.13$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.02	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	53cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves	52c	150$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f26…33d1backed Raptors	49c	147.49$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.27	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Timberwolves	48c	144.97$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.43	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves	49c	143$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.93	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ba…a7c7backed Raptors	49c	135.78$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.53	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe29d…ab4ebacked Timberwolves	52c	131.14$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.95	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-35%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Timberwolves	46c	130.43$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.43	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Raptors won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Raptors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event