NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087375da0cc17ab982bb7977bfc751b1be947fbb6e2c866cfd685832ca3b6be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,412 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 57c | 75,438$42,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,651.56 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,999.95 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Raptors | 53c | 49,113$26,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,140.37 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Raptors | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 55c | 28,881$15,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,867.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 44c | 24,218$10,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,680.35 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Raptors | 54c | 11,488$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.72 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Raptors | 53c | 10,659$5,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.48 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 9,121$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 56c | 7,462$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 54c | 6,947$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,715$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.62 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Raptors | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 4,990$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.25 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors | 56c | 4,769$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.75 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 4,670$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 43c | 4,501$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 43c | 4,005$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,624$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.68 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Raptors | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raptors | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,357$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.92 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,161$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.51 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Timberwolves | 43c | 2,093$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.02 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,973$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,851$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…de94backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,647$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Raptors | 54c | 1,577$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.4 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,541$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.42 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…b415backed Raptors | 53c | 1,501$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Raptors | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,345$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.86 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Raptors | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Raptors | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,198$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.33 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Raptors | 56c | 1,130$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.8 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.82 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raptors | 54c | 1,059$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.66 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Raptors | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Raptors | 56c | 1,034$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,034$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.87 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,023$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.74 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Raptors | 57c | 1,021$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.11 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Raptors | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db4…91e2backed Raptors | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Raptors | 56c | 889$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.84 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Raptors | 56c | 814$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.55 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…54ebbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 44c | 742.17$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors | 51c | 668.37$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.87 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Raptors | 53c | 660.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.32 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Timberwolves | 44c | 660.64$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.03 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 50c | 556.51$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Raptors | 54c | 543$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Raptors | 57c | 530$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 53c | 524.22$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Raptors | 55c | 456.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.34 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Raptors | 56c | 427.25$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.26 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Raptors | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 45c | 390.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Raptors | 61c | 360$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Raptors | 55c | 342.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…3e40backed Timberwolves | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Raptors | 54c | 303.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Raptors | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 275.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Raptors | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…bf17backed Timberwolves | 44c | 241.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed Timberwolves | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Raptors | 53c | 218.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Timberwolves | 44c | 211.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Raptors | 55c | 198$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Raptors | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 44c | 178.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Raptors | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Raptors | 57c | 171.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Raptors | 56c | 150.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Raptors | 56c | 136.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves | 46c | 124.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Timberwolves | 44c | 120.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Raptors | 53c | 116.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Raptors | 51c | 112.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 109.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 108.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Timberwolves | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…022dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 100.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Raptors | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Timberwolves | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Timberwolves | 45c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Raptors won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Raptors vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.