Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5f39b0766348f40c9f210fe742acb934b9bea44f0c7a794905d8e1be0b36a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9926…d409backed Yes | 0c | 21,602$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 6c | 12,118$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.88 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 10c | 8,188$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.4 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 6c | 6,258$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 3c | 5,250$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 9c | 5,008$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.57 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 11c | 4,294$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.23 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 1c | 4,078$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…286cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,466$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.78 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…76ecbacked Yes | 24c | 3,382$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,539$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 27c | 2,383$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.02 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,192$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 13c | 1,884$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 9c | 1,690$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…d091backed Yes | 19c | 1,656$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.96 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…d1c0backed No | 65c | 1,597$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,560$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…0ddbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,516$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,506$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 75c | 1,487$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,428$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 1,350$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 1,298$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Yes | 12c | 1,242$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,058$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 930.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e7…5744backed Yes | 11c | 925.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 15c | 856.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 6c | 820$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 11c | 786.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 13c | 745.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked Yes | 6c | 735.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…f7d8backed Yes | 6c | 732.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…9bd5backed Yes | 14c | 723.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 715.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…658abacked Yes | 9c | 714$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 8c | 703.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 8c | 683.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 12c | 664.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked Yes | 9c | 625$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 17c | 608.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed Yes | 11c | 596.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…def2backed No | 76c | 589.45$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…9611backed Yes | 4c | 577.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 9c | 571.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 484.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 3c | 468.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 10c | 455.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed Yes | 16c | 455$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 11c | 454.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 2c | 421.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 12c | 418.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 9c | 412$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…7534backed Yes | 12c | 403.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…ab8bbacked Yes | 27c | 383.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed No | 73c | 378.45$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 338.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…85f7backed Yes | 13c | 337.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…91d5backed Yes | 13c | 324.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…4815backed Yes | 14c | 320.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 311.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…3af1backed Yes | 15c | 311.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 6c | 306.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…37b4backed Yes | 13c | 304.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…0744backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 2%1 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…3056backed Yes | 16c | 297.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…659dbacked No | 60c | 292.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…bfa8backed Yes | 12c | 278.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 21c | 272.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 24c | 264.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 257.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…87f7backed Yes | 14c | 252.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…4c87backed Yes | 9c | 246.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…096fbacked Yes | 15c | 236.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 227.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…8b8ebacked Yes | 12c | 225.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…25b5backed Yes | 12c | 222.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 370 | 7.8%29 W · 341 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…ffd6backed Yes | 9c | 220.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…694dbacked Yes | 21c | 218.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…b1d1backed Yes | 12c | 216.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked Yes | 10c | 215.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed No | 70c | 214.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…bbffbacked Yes | 15c | 213.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…8067backed Yes | 12c | 208.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Yes | 7c | 201.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 16c | 197.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 13c | 197.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d7…0c95backed Yes | 15c | 195.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 79c | 195.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…4306backed Yes | 15c | 192.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 20c | 183.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…a392backed Yes | 14c | 182.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…676cbacked Yes | 9c | 181.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…0b84backed Yes | 13c | 179.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed Yes | 12c | 173.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.