Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a44c8671caed6241e6f9edc34a2ea9bbe5aa9b9d0e35d023ba4468e2db8ceb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880d…adb6backed No | 7c | 5,807$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed No | 16c | 5,312$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed No | 5c | 2,520$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 5c | 1,826$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…d091backed Yes | 44c | 1,622$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.36 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 79c | 1,582$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.71 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…bfa8backed No | 4c | 1,535$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 3c | 1,214$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,198$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed No | 57c | 1,099$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 14c | 1,036$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked No | 9c | 1,035$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 24c | 719.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.34 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 41c | 692.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.8 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 36c | 591.93$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.79 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 70c | 588.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.19 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…835dbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…d1c0backed Yes | 33c | 480.3$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.84 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 473.02$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.23 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 19c | 472.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed No | 29c | 429.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 75c | 427.2$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 32c | 423.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.65 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 34c | 409$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 20c | 364.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Yes | 50c | 348.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 45c | 321.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed Yes | 79c | 310.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…3b30backed Yes | 63c | 310.43$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 308.92$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 68c | 291.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed Yes | 61c | 275.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…0b7fbacked Yes | 10c | 273.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 19c | 243.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 237.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 46c | 232.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed No | 5c | 230.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 77c | 213.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.18 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 211.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 45c | 197.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 47c | 174.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…ed5cbacked No | 55c | 173.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 171.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 24c | 171.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…c45dbacked No | 22c | 169.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 168.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 19c | 165.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 59c | 155.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 70c | 155.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 56c | 152.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed Yes | 49c | 151.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 24c | 150.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…9c96backed Yes | 74c | 148.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 49c | 147.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ac15backed No | 57c | 147$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…52f4backed Yes | 69c | 140.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 12c | 140$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…df1ebacked Yes | 23c | 136.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed No | 52c | 134.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 47c | 133.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 24c | 129.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 24c | 128.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…fb35backed Yes | 45c | 126.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…7a97backed Yes | 46c | 126.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…614dbacked Yes | 15c | 125.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 20c | 121.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 45c | 120.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 16c | 117.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 116.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 72c | 112.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 65c | 106.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…a124backed Yes | 22c | 104.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +108%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 40c | 101.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 13c | 100.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…6604backed Yes | 42c | 100.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…1957backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 13c | 99.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…7ba3backed Yes | 48c | 99.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…3e9abacked Yes | 50c | 96.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…90f7backed Yes | 19c | 92.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 15c | 91.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…3338backed Yes | 21c | 89.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c4…e793backed Yes | 21c | 88.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fa…c278backed Yes | 33c | 87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 56c | 82.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 43c | 81.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bf…ecaebacked Yes | 16c | 78.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +208.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 36c | 78.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…c778backed No | 64c | 75.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 22c | 73.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed No | 69c | 69.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031e…372abacked Yes | 21c | 69.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.