Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9499d6065399c116e3801f1929500de6210b34520f0bbfa949ff5f84c6ef1a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e3…76ecbacked Yes | 17c | 3,279$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 2c | 1,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 1,669$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.57 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca8…25c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,119$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed No | 77c | 843.9$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 12c | 787.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 749.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 34c | 705.65$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…d091backed Yes | 38c | 696.71$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.83 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 591.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 28c | 571.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 5c | 569.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 561.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 14c | 429.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 22c | 409.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 18c | 366.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Yes | 16c | 330.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 15c | 329.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 19c | 292.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 280.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 11c | 258.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 20c | 251.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…286cbacked Yes | 44c | 234.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 12c | 223.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 11c | 218.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 76c | 212.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 12c | 207.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 204.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Yes | 50c | 188.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 179.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 164.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…df1ebacked Yes | 20c | 160.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 151.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…0b7fbacked Yes | 14c | 149.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…69aebacked Yes | 33c | 142.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 23c | 138.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Yes | 22c | 131.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 69c | 124.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 18c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 22c | 119.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 11c | 118.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 13c | 116.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 27c | 113.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 113.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 18c | 110.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked No | 78c | 105.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 15c | 101.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed No | 73c | 99.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…30d4backed Yes | 24c | 96.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…85f7backed Yes | 16c | 94.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 93.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed No | 66c | 92.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 37c | 92.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 91.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…7ba3backed Yes | 30c | 89.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Yes | 37c | 88.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…13eabacked Yes | 13c | 88.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 24c | 88.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked Yes | 17c | 84.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…5944backed No | 44c | 80.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…887cbacked Yes | 14c | 77.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…fa0bbacked Yes | 15c | 69.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 29c | 64.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 16c | 62.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 16c | 61.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…f673backed Yes | 37c | 61.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 73c | 61.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…614dbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 26c | 55.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed Yes | 19c | 54.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 25c | 53.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed Yes | 24c | 50.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…33d3backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 23c | 49.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 58c | 47.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…e168backed No | 76c | 45.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Yes | 53c | 39.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 70c | 35.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 34.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 78c | 19.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed No | 78c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf9…96e1backed No | 80c | 15.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.