Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e389e4f915427035ae38bb43b4cd651fd5ff1a69ddcf54f84c57e47170a62e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe4…d1c0backed Yes | 0c | 33,277$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,208$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 1c | 4,733$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 0c | 2,762$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 12c | 1,234$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…ab8bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,180$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 951.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 3c | 850$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Yes | 9c | 846.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 19c | 655.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 80c | 638.41$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 3c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 9c | 491.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Yes | 18c | 428.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…614dbacked Yes | 16c | 401.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 14c | 399.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 396.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b679backed Yes | 20c | 348.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 5c | 309.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…750bbacked Yes | 21c | 306.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 10c | 302.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 5c | 249.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed Yes | 20c | 230.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…92b6backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42d1…8769backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…d952backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…2db1backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…0b31backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…a1c9backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 199.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 16c | 197.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf821…f546backed Yes | 22c | 196.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…286cbacked Yes | 19c | 188.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…6747backed Yes | 23c | 186.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 178.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 77c | 170.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…df1ebacked Yes | 20c | 151.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 25c | 150.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…e1c6backed No | 77c | 140.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 136.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 77c | 133.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 16c | 124.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 10c | 123.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 123.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 79c | 119.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 14c | 116.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…3304backed Yes | 10c | 115.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 9c | 112.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…ba65backed Yes | 12c | 102.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 24c | 101.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…3c72backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 13c | 99.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 27c | 82.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…a838backed Yes | 19c | 81.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65f…8c1ebacked Yes | 17c | 81.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…8495backed No | 75c | 78.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked No | 74c | 77.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…fc45backed Yes | 25c | 76.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 76c | 75.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…30d4backed Yes | 18c | 74.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…3e9abacked Yes | 25c | 72.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 70.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 66.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…1b2fbacked Yes | 29c | 64.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 27c | 61.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 79c | 59.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…6938backed No | 72c | 57.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…b45abacked Yes | 19c | 57.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 79c | 50.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed No | 76c | 50.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 46.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…52e9backed Yes | 25c | 46.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…7219backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 79c | 31.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 67c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…38cebacked No | 76c | 28.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…1a87backed No | 75c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…c553backed No | 79c | 24.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 77cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…0427backed No | 72c | 22.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0008…e37bbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 75c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…352abacked No | 76c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 78c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 17.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…c6e4backed No | 75c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b7…4a73backed No | 75c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 77c | 16.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…c0b6backed No | 74c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 79c | 16.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…ba60backed No | 77c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.