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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Nets, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,952,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,558,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,952,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nets10c1,528,000$150,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,771.1943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Nets9c189,773$17,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,235.2227424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Nets1c135,369$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.4826637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Nets10c104,459$10,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,445.577943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Nets9c88,673$7,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,980.5810930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets9c82,000$7,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,384.9847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nets8c57,777$4,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,622.1536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Nets8c55,238$4,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.3840035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets9c55,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Nets10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nets6c45,018$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.91,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Nets9c41,236$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.2639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets6c35,130$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.111,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Nets9c34,988$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Nets9c31,000$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,79013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Nets9c30,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8008944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Nets8c28,454$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.3261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Nets0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets9c20,162$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets10c20,094$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.1441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets9c16,063$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.3661336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Nets1c15,702$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.563179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Nets8c13,977$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.3628554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Nets10c12,871$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.133336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets7c12,338$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.621,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Nets9c12,227$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.278834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Nets7c11,027$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79817436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets9c11,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Nets9c11,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9810035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09dc…e583backed Nets7c10,901$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Nets9c10,781$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.3364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets9c10,552$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.284,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets9c10,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Nets9c10,216$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.4712639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Nets10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Nets10c9,767$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets3c8,619$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.941,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…31ecbacked Nets10c8,123$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.771414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Nets8c7,554$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58319136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nets5c7,336$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8344821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets5c6,094$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.641,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nets12c5,840$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Nets9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Nets9c5,488$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.622924.1%7 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Nets9c5,422$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9862539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Nets6c5,039$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Nets9c5,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4709853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x108b…dd15backed Nets9c4,889$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c4,800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.258820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Nets10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets6c3,928$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.931,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Nets4c3,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254050%20 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd248…0ceebacked Nets9c3,400$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets8c3,195$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd94a…2728backed Nets7c3,098$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Nets7c3,065$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2314244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Nets8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Nets0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504e…0187backed Nets9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed90…26a2backed Nets10c2,900$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x521a…043abacked Nets9c2,900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets9c2,839$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.062,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Nets11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Nets9c2,711$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24411713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Nets9c2,666$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.911330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e9b…c3edbacked Nets9c2,657$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Nets10c2,567$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.669430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets9c2,392$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.291,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Nets5c2,250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-76.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Nets8c2,158$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5613835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Nets7c2,111$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15047134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e44…0ac7backed Nets9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18060%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e8f…e1ebbacked Nets5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ba…fa25backed Nets9c1,999$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.911650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Nets7c1,910$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.945838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4de…3bf7backed Nets9c1,900$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Nets10c1,798$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.822857.5%131 W · 97 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Nets7c1,702$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.163145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45fb…6a11backed Nets9c1,700$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Nets9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Nets10c1,613$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9446940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Nets9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530132.6%98 W · 203 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61b1…aea0backed Nets9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets2c1,445$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.957211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7d…c14dbacked Nets7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007320.5%15 W · 58 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd07…5ce1backed Nets8c1,411$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154438.6%17 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca13…4674backed Nets9c1,400$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nets10c1,391$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8438540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets8c1,309$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…b3bfbacked Nets9c1,266$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb90…c431backed Nets8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ac9…0f75backed Nets9c1,240$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed Nets9c1,181$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.342948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nets10c1,110$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Nets10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11064139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Nets9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9932827.4%90 W · 238 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…d8e5backed Nets11c1,042$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.63036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.