TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets50c25,795$12,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,890.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Celtics50c25,395$12,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,697.4629650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Nets50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets51c9,715$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.311,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics51c7,211$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics48c6,191$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.432,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Nets48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nets51c3,534$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.4682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Celtics51c3,057$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.8215549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Celtics45c2,375$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.9940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Celtics50c2,344$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1722,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets50c2,337$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics49c1,907$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets48c1,482$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.2347542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics50c1,430$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Nets52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Celtics50c1,170$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets49c1,075$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics50c1,025$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.421,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Celtics49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51023938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Nets52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Celtics54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f89…ccf7backed Celtics55c772.8$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.852846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nets61c761.89$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.242,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Celtics54c585.87$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.52842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Celtics51c584.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.71,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Nets46c555$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.322055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Celtics50c448$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22454351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Celtics56c430.36$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Celtics40c417.61$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9413835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets49c400$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Celtics52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Celtics65c387.93$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.935448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Celtics53c365$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.961957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics48c316.73$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.663,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Nets48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Celtics50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Celtics53c296.29$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2612547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Celtics58c272$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2427357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfe…d83fbacked Celtics56c258.93$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics54c249$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.531,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets45c245.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.692,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets51c212.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.323,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Nets45c197.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8916953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Nets44c135$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.437842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Celtics51c123.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5321943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nets45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Celtics47c106.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.649047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nets47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7bfabacked Celtics47c106.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.152955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Nets47c101.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Celtics55c101$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.455754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Nets50c100.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7635843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Nets49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics48c92.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Celtics50c80.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.159552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics66c79.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Celtics53c78.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8921854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets51c75.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.443,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dcd…0c46backed Celtics54c66.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics65c63.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.181,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Celtics54c59.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.145653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Celtics48c59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.638540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics53c57.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dec…ce9abacked Celtics54c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x275a…4d33backed Celtics53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Nets45c54.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.517744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0568…d5a7backed Nets47c52.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Nets41c51.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.936841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Nets50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Celtics80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1010069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Nets20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Celtics50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Celtics43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.611464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Celtics64c47.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1612961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Nets44c44.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics45c43.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.935,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics51c42.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.91,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Celtics54c41.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1966732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics52c41.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.650653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Celtics56c39.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4531249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Celtics51c37.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.276446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe751…6010backed Celtics54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Nets47c37.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.462844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Celtics51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1730840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Nets36c36.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2912227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Celtics50c35.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.581,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Celtics53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4514049.3%69 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Celtics52c31.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Celtics48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2520650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics53c29.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Nets46c23.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.616141%25 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Nets47c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2221948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…f2e6backed Celtics47c21.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Celtics53c21.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0913950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.