NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3131c1a2b31952705df355b8195e339f6014922c84acb9cb0ed3650304247d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 154,151$75,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,162.02 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 49,434$24,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,717 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 50c | 31,250$15,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,625 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 20,859$10,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,722.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 11,334$5,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 52c | 7,611$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.47 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.95 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 52c | 4,966$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.32 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Over | 48c | 4,168$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.92 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 46c | 3,857$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.78 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 2,224$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.77 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 2,200$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.84 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 48c | 2,137$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.35 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 2,068$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.37 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 2,013$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.73 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,999$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 45c | 1,785$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 1,681$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.92 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 1,506$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.34 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,417$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 1,183$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 55c | 1,105$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.7 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 46c | 1,082$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.04 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,026$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.87 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 49c | 1,010$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.15 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 37c | 990.14$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.36 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 764.7$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…ccf7backed Under | 55c | 734$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 70c | 714.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 51c | 589.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 51c | 584.24$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 51c | 566$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 550$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.84 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 30c | 466.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 405.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 48c | 321.73$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…671abacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 71c | 282.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Over | 52c | 267.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 256.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 19c | 188.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Under | 52c | 188$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 53c | 186.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 179.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 47c | 171.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 149.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 47c | 148.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 48c | 130$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 128$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 79c | 125.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 48c | 119$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 64c | 118.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 110.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 23c | 108.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 57c | 104.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce6…a872backed Over | 80c | 100.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 94.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Over | 71c | 89.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Over | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 24c | 82.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cd…0379backed Under | 51c | 73.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Over | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 57c | 70.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 50c | 65.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 64.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…f6abbacked Over | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 78c | 49.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5this page
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Nets vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Over won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 207.5Over won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5Over won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 210.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.