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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c154,151$75,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,162.0287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under52c50,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c49,434$24,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,7171,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under50c31,250$15,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,62551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c20,859$10,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,722.971,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c11,334$5,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,781.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under52c7,611$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.4720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under52c5,000$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.951,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under52c4,966$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.3292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Over48c4,168$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.9211249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over46c3,857$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.7843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over49c2,224$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.7751354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c2,200$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over48c2,137$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.358751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,068$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c2,013$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.7380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c1,999$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c1,785$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under53c1,681$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.9295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over48c1,506$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.3464944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,417$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c1,183$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under55c1,105$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.726553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over46c1,082$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.0415450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6624050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c1,026$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.872,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over49c1,010$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.1546346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9819958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under37c990.14$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3613835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44161740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under53c764.7$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f89…ccf7backed Under55c734$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over70c714.8$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.81,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under51c589.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.915650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under51c584.24$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9637842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under51c566$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c550$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.841,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under30c466.63$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.993,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c405.32$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21216148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over48c321.73$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3644…671abacked Under52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over71c282.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1532952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Over52c267.31$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3120650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c256.92$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.82,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c256$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8839552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under19c188.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3640243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Under52c188$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7627059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under53c186.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.16746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c179.55$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.993,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over47c171.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1521459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c149.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.033,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcd…3b61backed Over47c148.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.05742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over48c130$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.538540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c128$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8456547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over79c125.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.148563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over51c125$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.439449.2%194 W · 200 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over48c119$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5930840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over64c118.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c110.29$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3660346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Under55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under23c108.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.441,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Over46c106.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5217342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under57c104.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce6…a872backed Over80c100.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5039435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506854.4%37 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c94.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.582,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.917747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…66acbacked Over71c89.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.566848.5%33 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Over63c86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9410753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under24c82.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0211826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9992058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63cd…0379backed Under51c73.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Over46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7410856.5%61 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over57c70.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under50c65.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under52c64.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd0e…f6abbacked Over45c59.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over78c49.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8745653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.