NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2de857bba2aa9b0cc04b6d5e53e1e29d35a765079a2063c1d4d6672528f20f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Nets | 57c | 3,776$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Celtics | 43c | 2,210$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.69 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 43c | 1,329$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Celtics | 45c | 1,108$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.57 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 43c | 1,029$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.57 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nets | 54c | 1,025$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.76 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 55c | 984.13$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 56c | 577.6$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nets | 56c | 572.17$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 45c | 515.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 43c | 440.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Celtics | 45c | 344.02$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 55c | 324.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Celtics | 46c | 264$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 46c | 221.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Celtics | 46c | 179.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Nets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 51c | 164.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nets | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Celtics | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Nets | 57c | 136.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 52c | 134.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Nets | 56c | 133.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Celtics | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Nets | 53c | 131.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Celtics | 46c | 111.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Celtics | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Nets | 56c | 104$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Nets | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Nets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Nets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 50c | 83.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…dba7backed Celtics | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nets | 50c | 79.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Celtics | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Celtics | 46c | 71.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Nets | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nets | 57c | 64.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Nets | 57c | 60.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Nets | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Celtics | 49c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Celtics | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Nets | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 44c | 30.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Nets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Nets | 50c | 24.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd5aa…a03cbacked Celtics | 46c | 21.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-18.5)this page
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Nets vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Over won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 207.5Over won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5Over won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5Over won
- Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 210.5Over won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Noah Clowney: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.