TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics48c31,297$15,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,178.861,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets51c28,612$14,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,693.191,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Celtics49c17,123$8,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,732.9212547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Nets51c10,698$5,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,455.851,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Celtics48c9,583$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,983.3321943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets52c8,058$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets51c7,275$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Nets52c6,899$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.2517554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Celtics48c6,764$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.2243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets52c6,154$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Celtics49c5,778$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.5517356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets52c5,058$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,63065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics49c4,303$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics47c3,651$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.652,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Nets77c3,251$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Celtics48c3,148$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.9654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Celtics52c3,056$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.7412245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Celtics48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Celtics31c1,869$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.0340243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nets49c1,500$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Celtics48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.1635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics48c1,318$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…e447backed Nets56c1,288$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.111154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Celtics53c1,235$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.2919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets52c1,201$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Nets52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics50c1,023$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Nets49c1,018$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9722055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Celtics51c1,016$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.0541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics48c1,002$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.834,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Celtics48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9923938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics30c997.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.473,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics47c943.4$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Nets53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics48c900$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Nets48c807$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.361,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets51c718.82$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.62,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Nets52c655.71$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Celtics52c611.28$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4119954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Celtics49c571.84$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6415357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics47c552.08$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.413,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Celtics48c539.58$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5811943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics28c513.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.411,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…d540backed Celtics50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e6…f782backed Nets49c487$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nets52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a35…b939backed Nets51c474$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Nets48c471.27$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.219352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1421…f12bbacked Nets50c470$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9515…e6bbbacked Celtics50c465$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcc…de80backed Nets50c462$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics49c456.08$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da8…9943backed Nets50c452$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b0…3183backed Nets50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x695f…5147backed Celtics50c448$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2960…5819backed Celtics51c446$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2b…1477backed Celtics49c432.38$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3812749.6%63 W · 64 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…9dc6backed Celtics50c417$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics51c412.09$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.783,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b6…7125backed Celtics50c404$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc3…0a9abacked Celtics50c399$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…afcfbacked Celtics50c398$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b5…4866backed Nets50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff5…9b86backed Nets49c388$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x395a…e516backed Celtics50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0877…188cbacked Nets50c380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6f…9f3bbacked Celtics51c376$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…70a1backed Celtics50c376$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Celtics49c374.37$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5616052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd85…0230backed Nets50c354$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1611…3b81backed Celtics51c352$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9cb…9b57backed Nets50c352$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…9966backed Nets50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Celtics48c345.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b1…77eebacked Celtics51c342$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd34…6e35backed Nets50c332$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…23a8backed Celtics50c332$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e34…b50cbacked Nets49c330$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb4…3737backed Celtics50c326$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa728…61b7backed Celtics50c326$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b27…10f9backed Celtics50c321$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc8…5800backed Nets50c316$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d2…6bebbacked Nets50c312$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa615…e9f0backed Nets49c311$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets48c310.52$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.051,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184b…64efbacked Celtics50c302$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x730f…c8bbbacked Nets50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Nets48c299.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.999853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets50c250.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.192,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Celtics40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8653…d687backed Celtics49c248.85$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets52c210.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09bf…b9d6backed Nets52c207.54$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.921040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets51c200.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Nets48c197.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.93171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Nets52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Nets49c172.86$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.72343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.