TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,571 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c51,651$27,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,778.9287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under48c12,331$5,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,918.8324045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c7,960$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.252,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c7,245$3,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c5,000$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under47c4,975$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.1451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c4,958$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.591,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c3,965$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.91,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c3,841$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.322,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c3,816$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.8443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c3,004$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.961,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Over52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.624860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,767$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c2,506$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c2,316$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c1,970$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.811,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under47c1,600$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.9780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,404$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c1,300$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over53c1,277$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over53c949.99$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.534855.2%192 W · 156 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c938.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6412855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb30a…7fc3backed Over56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c612.8$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.572,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c562.47$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6125951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under47c544.13$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3813835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c522.14$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9e…70cebacked Under48c462$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.76875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10c4…ce04backed Under48c462$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf359…a928backed Under48c452$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8887…eab8backed Over52c421$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b72…3d1cbacked Over52c413$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under48c408.32$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.946746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0842…9d35backed Over52c408$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc06c…460dbacked Under48c403$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over52c384.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6118147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b3…9f49backed Over52c371$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007853.8%42 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over46c370.37$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3490…a665backed Over52c368$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc68c…a500backed Over52c367$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e5…c9e3backed Under48c364$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6a…5df7backed Over52c354$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f25…8b5fbacked Over52c345$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc784…4989backed Under48c326$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ef…0534backed Under48c291$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over54c287.58$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.861,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb95…e0e4backed Under48c287$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over51c247.06$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0610149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over52c239.15$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.141650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c223.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.835,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6831249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c185.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.381,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c151.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Over53c150.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.887152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over54c140.78$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2612151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over51c137.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4572250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over51c123.16$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over51c120.19$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.891,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c120.02$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.681,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c105.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.092,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over52c104.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3321352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c99.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.813,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Under49c99.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7721854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over51c98.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2440541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Over51c98.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1411348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over54c92.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0253453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801d…e649backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea52…b082backed Over54c74.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over53c73.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under48c69.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4396956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c68.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over56c67.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under46c60.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b4c…c7c1backed Under49c59.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c33…9ac6backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8211352.2%59 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8214252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over54c57.37$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3918150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50a…a547backed Over56c50.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0828856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.