TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 208.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c104,883$54,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,416.1887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c75,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c12,510$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c9,644$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.9543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c9,000$4,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,33032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c7,034$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c6,884$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c5,667$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.541,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under47c5,154$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9157950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c4,930$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.461,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Under47c4,211$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f06…216ebacked Over47c4,100$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1731070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under51c4,060$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.61,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c3,922$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f63…57b9backed Under53c3,455$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.151323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c3,412$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.2780737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8414753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c3,139$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c3,100$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Over53c2,567$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.631464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under51c2,102$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.0222648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,013$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.165,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,932$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,900$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb6…8977backed Under53c1,545$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.851643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c1,530$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.723,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.21,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Over49c1,023$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.9115450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c977.01$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.322,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under55c917.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under55c911.79$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6d1…109bbacked Over47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4771637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over47c814.85$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.813835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c679$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.9254443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c614.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.241,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c589.55$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.981,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7025…cfbcbacked Under50c518$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…0525backed Under50c516$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1b…7d1dbacked Over50c508$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a0…cc4bbacked Over50c506$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…747cbacked Over50c506$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x072f…48febacked Under50c498$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…f4d7backed Under50c498$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9557…aefebacked Over50c494$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1f…ab7bbacked Over50c492$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1a…ee12backed Under50c488$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9274…520cbacked Under50c486$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e5…a696backed Under50c486$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3830…50a3backed Under50c482$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6240…c9bebacked Under50c480$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c475.4$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6b…f596backed Under50c472$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee32…8527backed Under50c466$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ed…efe3backed Over50c466$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb76…0985backed Over50c466$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf66…2ac5backed Under50c464$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe4e…ddd3backed Over50c462$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe968…5433backed Under50c462$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede8…fa3abacked Under50c460$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec7…b043backed Over50c458$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f23…af68backed Over50c456$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8308…0325backed Under50c456$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc669…98e5backed Under50c454$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…42c5backed Over50c448$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab76…596dbacked Over50c448$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…a7e2backed Under50c448$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe523…4275backed Under50c446$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…af5dbacked Under50c446$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd669…8b87backed Under50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc45a…9fadbacked Over50c442$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a99…65eebacked Under50c438$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd334…c976backed Under50c436$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8687…ba7dbacked Over50c436$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4441…78e4backed Over50c436$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd6…e92bbacked Under50c432$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b60…9b09backed Under50c430$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb6…c034backed Under50c422$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x722a…48ebbacked Over50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49cd…9981backed Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf960…20eabacked Over50c418$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c2…0893backed Over50c417.33$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77b…a37abacked Over50c414$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c413.13$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.831,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8469…8823backed Over50c412$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f4…b732backed Over50c408$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5856…5286backed Under50c406$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e9…e390backed Over50c406$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4288…adf1backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20416148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f7…bc69backed Under50c398$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.