TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a60…d8e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.13
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.69
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.33
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.85
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$29.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$65.24
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.52
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.53
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.57
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$347.31
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$199.39
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$681.75
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.44
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.92
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.42
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,079.68
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.97
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.25
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.92
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$50.17
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$219.83
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.69
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.06
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.86
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.4
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$219.7
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.07
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.67
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-74%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+695.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$159.31
Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Is $DJT real?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$102.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.