NFL · resolved market
Seahawks vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8fec9331f5256027b2f44476dcaae997e5ca0578b14162065b967627ab1248f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,237,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,375,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,237,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Seahawks | 58c | 1,298,688$751,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547,448.94 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Commanders | 42c | 1,145,984$481,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481,313.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Commanders | 43c | 928,917$399,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399,434.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Seahawks | 57c | 774,658$441,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333,102.74 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 41c | 308,194$126,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,828.68 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Commanders | 3c | 217,549$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.33 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Seahawks | 57c | 180,892$103,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,458.09 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks | 65c | 118,673$77,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,012.83 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Commanders | 41c | 110,864$45,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,035.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Seahawks | 57c | 90,367$51,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,727.06 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Commanders | 15c | 87,122$12,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,667.1 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Seahawks | 58c | 86,878$50,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,167.69 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Seahawks | 57c | 69,900$39,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,057.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Seahawks | 57c | 67,000$38,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,809.99 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Seahawks | 60c | 63,907$38,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,562.84 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Commanders | 0c | 57,552$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Seahawks | 57c | 56,600$32,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,166.12 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Commanders | 18c | 51,803$9,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,532.86 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Commanders | 43c | 45,000$19,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,350 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Seahawks | 58c | 45,000$26,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Seahawks | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Commanders | 43c | 39,999$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,199.57 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Seahawks | 63c | 38,135$24,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,928.35 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Seahawks | 67c | 35,673$23,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,892.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Commanders | 43c | 34,871$14,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,994.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57c…5264backed Seahawks | 59c | 34,061$20,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,811.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Seahawks | 60c | 33,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Seahawks | 57c | 32,340$18,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,903.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Seahawks | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Seahawks | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Commanders | 24c | 28,850$6,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.54 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Seahawks | 76c | 25,746$19,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,225.63 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…a902backed Seahawks | 58c | 24,138$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,137.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Commanders | 40c | 22,506$9,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,056.06 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Commanders | 40c | 21,932$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,879.62 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Commanders | 43c | 20,930$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Seahawks | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Seahawks | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Seahawks | 61c | 19,943$12,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seahawks | 59c | 19,016$11,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,796.55 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks | 75c | 18,870$14,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.95 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Commanders | 43c | 15,116$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Seahawks | 57c | 14,299$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.23 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 40c | 13,927$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,617.27 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Seahawks | 57c | 13,000$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,590 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Commanders | 2c | 12,394$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Seahawks | 59c | 12,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Commanders | 15c | 11,781$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Commanders | 1c | 11,100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…2478backed Seahawks | 60c | 11,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Seahawks | 79c | 10,770$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.31 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Seahawks | 59c | 10,552$6,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Seahawks | 57c | 10,525$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Seahawks | 58c | 10,415$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.78 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Seahawks | 59c | 10,169$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.49 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Commanders | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Commanders | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Seahawks | 59c | 9,994$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…e0e1backed Commanders | 31c | 9,109$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Seahawks | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Commanders | 43c | 8,679$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.86 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Commanders | 1c | 8,659$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Seahawks | 60c | 8,507$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,414.72 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Seahawks | 57c | 8,229$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.57 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Seahawks | 56c | 7,817$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.34 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Commanders | 15c | 7,099$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Commanders | 33c | 6,983$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.85 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Commanders | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…a3b7backed Seahawks | 58c | 6,897$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…984ebacked Commanders | 42c | 6,861$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5592backed Seahawks | 59c | 6,770$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 60c | 6,723$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.72 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Seahawks | 58c | 6,056$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.6 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Seahawks | 58c | 5,945$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 21c | 5,818$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.09 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Commanders | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Commanders | 1c | 5,738$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Seahawks | 58c | 5,633$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Commanders | 31c | 5,126$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.32 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Commanders | 3c | 5,122$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.79 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Seahawks | 57c | 5,113$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.73 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Commanders | 40c | 5,012$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.41 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Commanders | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Seahawks | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Seahawks | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Seahawks | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7c66backed Commanders | 5c | 4,888$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Commanders | 2c | 4,860$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Seahawks | 58c | 4,810$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.62 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Commanders | 25c | 4,750$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.44 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Commanders | 2c | 4,598$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Commanders | 1c | 4,415$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Seahawks | 58c | 4,133$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.76 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Commanders | 20c | 4,100$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Seahawks | 58c | 4,023$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.8 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…4421backed Seahawks | 78c | 3,768$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Commanders | 2c | 3,765$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…69cdbacked Seahawks | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seahawks vs. Commandersthis page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 47.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.