NFL · resolved market
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc11c535c495467ae5d49c12f3a298b533cf17a99526d1b4d6592741a04ce0c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Commanders | 57c | 277,744$158,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158,248.81 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Seahawks | 44c | 236,082$102,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,362.34 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seahawks | 46c | 157,074$71,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,169.93 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 55c | 58,608$32,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,246.51 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Commanders | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Seahawks | 43c | 28,005$12,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,962.65 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Commanders | 55c | 17,093$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,434.01 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Seahawks | 41c | 14,305$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,440.09 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Commanders | 59c | 8,819$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,203.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Commanders | 53c | 7,980$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.85 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Commanders | 56c | 6,975$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.25 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Commanders | 10c | 6,186$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.02 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Seahawks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Commanders | 59c | 4,246$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Commanders | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Commanders | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 55c | 1,771$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Commanders | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Commanders | 53c | 1,232$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.7 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Seahawks | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Commanders | 53c | 1,118$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.75 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Seahawks | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Seahawks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…7439backed Commanders | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Seahawks | 43c | 873$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…3b19backed Seahawks | 43c | 870.96$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…e8e6backed Seahawks | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Seahawks | 43c | 744.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d6d2backed Seahawks | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Commanders | 55c | 630.69$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.88 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Commanders | 53c | 625.89$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.72 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Seahawks | 44c | 614.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.24 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…6ea6backed Commanders | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Seahawks | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Seahawks | 43c | 518$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Commanders | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders | 51c | 475.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Commanders | 55c | 455$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Seahawks | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Commanders | 56c | 442.38$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Seahawks | 43c | 400.36$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.21 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Commanders | 56c | 367.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…a305backed Seahawks | 43c | 327.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Commanders | 55c | 317.45$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Seahawks | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Seahawks | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Commanders | 58c | 257.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Commanders | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Seahawks | 43c | 246.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Seahawks | 43c | 242.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Seahawks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked Commanders | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…ab9dbacked Seahawks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Seahawks | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Commanders | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Seahawks | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Commanders | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Commanders | 53c | 152.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Seahawks | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed Seahawks | 49c | 142.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Commanders | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Commanders | 57c | 123.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Seahawks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Seahawks | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Seahawks | 44c | 105.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Commanders | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Seahawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Commanders | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Seahawks | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Seahawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Seahawks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Seahawks | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Commanders | 58c | 95.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…75dabacked Seahawks | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Seahawks | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Commanders | 58c | 86.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Commanders | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Seahawks | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Commanders | 57c | 70.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c96…3485backed Commanders | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…5203backed Seahawks | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Seahawks | 44c | 69.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a3…961abacked Seahawks | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Commanders | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Seahawks | 43c | 60.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…7b68backed Seahawks | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Commanders | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Seahawks | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Seahawks | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…d7efbacked Seahawks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Seahawks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Seahawks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Commanders | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…8a73backed Seahawks | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…be10backed Seahawks | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +250.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Commanders | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Commanders | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)Seahawks won
- Seahawks vs. CommandersSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 47.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.