Token Launches · resolved market
Is $DJT real?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f67944066937674a50be515da512f99c6ac01f9820f72386a135ea98326e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,383,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,901,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,383,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcc0…e458backed Yes | 3c | 335,676$8,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dc…2d07backed Yes | 21c | 241,555$50,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,009.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…76f5backed Yes | 10c | 197,618$19,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,620.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…b8e9backed Yes | 11c | 187,059$19,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…2e5cbacked Yes | 3c | 150,881$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…389bbacked Yes | 16c | 133,108$21,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,930.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…f85ebacked Yes | 1c | 95,981$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…93debacked Yes | 28c | 76,126$20,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,940.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 75,159$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.78 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…b055backed No | 80c | 71,219$56,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,256.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 2c | 62,000$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.98 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…07c8backed Yes | 5c | 54,883$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…b582backed Yes | 37c | 53,823$19,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,997.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 78c | 51,671$40,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,506.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…fceebacked Yes | 3c | 51,157$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…d15bbacked Yes | 15c | 51,126$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…1fc2backed Yes | 9c | 48,545$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8346…cfe0backed Yes | 12c | 48,222$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfeb…c165backed Yes | 1c | 48,192$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…a773backed Yes | 7c | 47,998$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,236.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…a144backed No | 79c | 41,956$32,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,018.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed Yes | 11c | 41,871$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17c…2af3backed Yes | 6c | 36,344$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…cad1backed Yes | 3c | 34,704$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed No | 73c | 34,263$25,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,098.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc99…352ebacked Yes | 1c | 34,054$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…db8ebacked Yes | 1c | 33,397$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5868…ac8cbacked Yes | 31c | 32,349$9,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,985.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…1c55backed Yes | 3c | 30,806$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…fb5cbacked Yes | 35c | 30,343$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae83…6429backed Yes | 19c | 28,955$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…1552backed Yes | 2c | 27,949$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…84edbacked Yes | 5c | 27,351$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 4c | 27,186$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.66 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 65c | 26,237$17,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,236.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…024bbacked Yes | 13c | 25,609$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,373.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…59debacked Yes | 7c | 25,417$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…2dfebacked Yes | 21c | 23,946$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…d403backed Yes | 31c | 23,821$7,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,301.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 10c | 23,499$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a7…7495backed Yes | 23c | 21,975$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…f804backed Yes | 21c | 20,791$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 1c | 20,757$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…6fc5backed Yes | 22c | 19,628$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…17b6backed Yes | 55c | 18,657$10,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,236.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…34bcbacked Yes | 22c | 18,398$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…e347backed Yes | 3c | 18,351$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…5324backed Yes | 22c | 17,996$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…fbc0backed Yes | 6c | 17,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…8fe1backed Yes | 7c | 17,496$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2e…3fc9backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…fee2backed Yes | 7c | 15,866$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…d2b7backed No | 77c | 15,614$12,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d62…2525backed Yes | 1c | 15,566$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…ae7ebacked Yes | 7c | 15,272$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…1fcdbacked Yes | 8c | 15,208$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…5052backed Yes | 19c | 15,025$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c7…0bbabacked Yes | 0c | 14,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…d914backed Yes | 9c | 13,464$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…26cfbacked Yes | 10c | 13,226$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…4090backed Yes | 7c | 13,163$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…336cbacked No | 73c | 13,036$9,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 13,009$9,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 72c | 12,896$9,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.33 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5c…87ebbacked Yes | 17c | 12,652$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…cfdbbacked Yes | 9c | 11,994$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…2a1fbacked Yes | 7c | 11,599$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…c439backed Yes | 13c | 11,576$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4b…3f53backed Yes | 3c | 11,282$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…faafbacked Yes | 1c | 11,243$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 20c | 11,146$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.68 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…fd17backed Yes | 17c | 10,801$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…0285backed Yes | 0c | 10,616$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 2c | 10,484$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…9e5fbacked Yes | 4c | 10,346$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…27c8backed Yes | 3c | 10,294$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…4493backed No | 79c | 10,227$8,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…f813backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…350abacked Yes | 41c | 9,753$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8703…9c1bbacked Yes | 3c | 9,581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 78c | 9,457$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.11 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…edb8backed Yes | 5c | 9,324$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…b29abacked Yes | 2c | 9,133$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…092cbacked Yes | 18c | 9,043$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…6b97backed No | 79c | 8,844$6,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…5a04backed Yes | 18c | 8,775$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…b865backed Yes | 19c | 8,586$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…9d42backed Yes | 13c | 8,584$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…68b3backed Yes | 12c | 8,563$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…5362backed Yes | 7c | 7,902$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 8c | 7,661$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.41 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…121ebacked Yes | 18c | 7,328$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…ae8dbacked Yes | 17c | 7,280$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…2710backed Yes | 42c | 7,040$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3d…4237backed Yes | 22c | 6,894$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940d…3bb7backed No | 71c | 6,864$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…2ac5backed No | 47c | 6,500$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fe…2981backed Yes | 1c | 6,446$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…cd95backed Yes | 2c | 6,366$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.